Category: online | 線上 | 온라인으로 | オンライン

The online field has been one of the mainstays since I started writing online in 2003. My act of writing online was partly to understand online as a medium.

Online has changed in nature. It was first a destination and plane of travel. Early netizens saw it as virgin frontier territory, rather like the early American pioneers viewed the open vistas of the western United States. Or later travellers moving west into the newly developing cities and towns from San Francisco to Los Angeles.

America might now be fenced in and the land claimed, but there was a new boundless electronic frontier out there. As the frontier grew more people dialled up to log into it. Then there was the metaphor of web surfing. Surfing the internet as a phrase was popularised by computer programmer Mark McCahill. He saw it as a clear analogue to ‘channel surfing’ changing from station to station on a television set because nothing grabs your attention.

Web surfing tapped into the line of travel and 1990s cool. Surfing like all extreme sport at the time was cool. And the internet grabbed your attention.

Broadband access, wi-fi and mobile data changed the nature of things. It altered what was consumed and where it was consumed. The sitting room TV was connected to the internet to receive content from download and streaming services. Online radio, podcasts and playlists supplanted the transistor radio in the kitchen.

Multi-screening became a thing, tweeting along real time opinions to reality TV and live current affairs programmes. Online became a wrapper that at its worst envelopes us in a media miasma of shrill voices, vacuous content and disinformation.

  • Shackleton & more things

    Ernest Shackleton, the Irish explorer and the heroic age of antarctic exploration are evoked in Apple’s ads for its Apple Watch Ultra – a rival to Casio’s G-Shock Master of G range and the Protrek range, Seiko’s similarly named Prospex range and Citizen’s Promaster range of watches.

    https://youtu.be/tidgsqAf_tI

    The underlying dialogue uses the text to a newspaper advert attributed to Shackleton when he was looking to recruit crew members for his ship the Endeavour. The Endeavour expedition competed with the rival Roald Amundsen’s expedition to reach the South Pole.

    The monologue also reaches back to the way Apple did its Think Different brand campaign rather than the kinetic iPhone, iPod and iWatch ads of the past.

    Men wanted for hazardous journey. Low wages, bitter cold, long hours of complete darkness. Safe return doubtful. Honour and recognition in event of success.

    The reality is that the ad didn’t become widely known until decades after Shackleton had died. There is no evidence to suggest that he ever wrote the words (stirring though they are in nature), or that the advert was ever published by Shackleton.

    Instead of Shackleton, who then wrote the words attributed to him? We’ll probably never know. What we do know is that they were first published in a book published in 1959. The 100 Greatest Advertisements: 1852-1958 written by Julian Lewis Watkins and was first published by first published by Dover Publications, Inc. Whether it was Shackleton who wrote them or not, they went into popular culture and sparked additional interest in the Irish explorer. Shackleton died in 1921 when returned to the Antarctic with the Shackleton–Rowett Expedition, he suffered a fatal heart attack while his ship was moored in South Georgia. We don’t know whether Ernest Shackleton would have appreciated the Apple Watch Ultra as a technical marvel concocted by wondrous boffins, or a pointless exercise in frippery for the serious explorer.

    Rolex Deepsea Challenge – a watch even more worthy of Shackleton?

    I know a watch is special when my Dad is telling me about it as soon as it’s launched. Rolex has upgraded its Rolex Sea-Dweller Deepsea to create the Rolex Deepsea Challenge. Out goes the largely useless date window, in comes an an all titanium grade 5 alloy case that’s 50mm across. This means that the watch moves from being waterproof of a depth of 3,900 meters to 11,000 meters (or just over 6.8 miles) with the new Deepsea Challenge.

    The Deepsea Challenge watch follows on from the years of experience that Rolex has had making titanium watches under its secondary Tudor brand using a similar (if not the same) grade 5 titanium.

    Titanium Grade 5 is the most widely used titanium alloy. It has (relatively) good hot formability and weldability. It is resistant to salt water, marine atmosphere and a variety of corrosive media temperatures below 300 ° C. Grade 5 titanium alloy is most likely to be accepted by the human body – its hypoallergenic and ideal for medical transplant components like hip joints.

    It is made up of 88.74-91.0 percent titanium, 5.5-6.75 percent aluminium, 3.5-4.5 percent vanadium and no more than 0.015 percent hydrogen.

    There is obviously osmosis between the two brands in terms of innovation, materials, process and technologies. This also explains why Tudor tries to do innovative designs in its range rather than just digging into the rich seam of ‘heritage looking’ watches with the Black Bay, Ranger and Heritage Chrono models.

    It is capable of going deeper than any body of water on earth. Rolex may have felt compelled to respond to Omega’s Seamaster Planet Ocean Ultra Deep.

    The watch community has already started spoofing the watch, which is another sign of it having become an icon. Whether it’s a famous icon, or infamous icon remains to be seen.

    35th Tokyo Girl’s Collection

    I talked years ago on this blog about the innovative approach to retailing behind the Tokyo Girl’s Collection. I came across their 2022 autumn and winter collection opening stage event, which I am sharing here.

    https://youtu.be/vx4AzkAtD3o

    USB-C

    Apple on the EU regulating connectors to standardise on USB-C. The reason why Apple went to detachable cables on chargers is very interesting. Apple are reluctantly complying over USB-C. The discussion around innovation is really interesting, particularly the way in which Apple executives duck the question.

  • State capitalism & more things

    State capitalism

    State capitalism has been created in various forms in China since opening up. Some of the new forms have aspects that impacts the relative attractiveness of doing business in or with Chinese companies.

    Opening up

    Historically since opening up China has been a mixed market model. There were small private businesses including many farmers. There was the state owned enterprises, a direct descendent of Mao’s work units and businesses that the government wanted to keep a strategic hold on.

    Shenzhen biennial
    Taken at an exhibition that was part of the Shenzhen Biennial, when I was there back in 2010

    Grey zone and hybrid companies

    Grey zone companies

    A classic example of a grey zone company would be Huawei. In their 2019 paper Who Owns Huawei, Balding & Clarke make a convincing argument that Huawei is a state controlled company, if not state owned in the conventional sense. This view is supported by:

    • The state hacking of Nortel which Huawei disproportionately benefited from in their subsequent telecoms carrier contracts and 5G technology
    • State bank vendor financing on behalf of Huawei at negative interest rates that telecoms providers like BT and Vodafone were given
    • The ‘princess’ Meng Wanzhou case in Canada

    Zichen Wang translated a Chinese academic paper that pointed out an alternative view. Yes the ownership structure was a shit show, was pretty much the one point of agreement between the two papers.

    But that much of this was down to domestic practice influenced by classic state capitalism and modern business law that China brought in and still doesn’t square up with what was happening on the ground in terms of business laws.

    You can make up your own mind if this is an element of state capitalism.

    Hybrid companies

    An example of this would be the Stellantis | Guangzhou Auto Company joint venture that made Jeep branded SUVs for China. These joint ventures were basically the way the Chinese government coerced technology transfer from western firms to local firms. The Stellantis JV has gone into bankruptcy and GAC seems to have its own range of capable SUVs based on Stellantis expertise gained over the years.

    Huawei’s joint venture with 3Com allowed the telecoms giant to build a large enterprise networking business to compete with the likes of Cisco Systems. At the time that China first rolled out its Golden Shield internet censorship platform, it relied on Cisco technology, and China would want to remedy this under its state capitalism system. Huawei now supports internet censorship around the world. This form of state capitalism has been common in a number of developing countries over the years, but China was particularly successful in using it in a coercive manner to enhance state capitalism rather than just driving economic growth.

    Rise of the hybrid firm – Gavekal ResearchToday, 48% of onshore listed companies, representing 67% of market capitalization, have a mixed bag of major shareholders from the private and state sectors. While many of those companies are still clearly controlled by either state or private shareholders, a large and significant group of firms occupies an intermediate position that is harder to characterize. – on China’s state capitalism system

    How China’s communist officials became venture capitalists – Times of IndiaThe US and other Western governments have long been wary of the economic power of China’s “state capitalism,” fueled by giant state-owned companies and an industrial policy driven by subsidies and government mandates. But policymakers need to pay more attention to what’s really propelling China’s growth: private firms with minority government-­linked investments. “The distinction between state-owned and private has been important for policymakers outside China and for analyzing the Chinese economy,” says Meg Rithmire, a professor at Harvard Business School who specializes in comparative political development in Asia and China. “That boundary is eroding.” – see also Chinese banks vendor financing deals which is the real reason behind Huawei’s growth (alongside stealing IP and other proprietary elements: Nortel cough, cough)

    Influenced firms

    Influenced firms are a particularly pernicious part of the Chinese state capitalism system. The Chinese economy has always relied on relationships and even patronage of government power brokers similar to Malaysia, Thailand and Korea. But the state has looked to move personal bonds to state bonds. Much of this comes from National Intelligence Law 2017; that puts demands on Chinese citizens, Chinese companies and anyone connected to China.

    Like the more widely reported Cybersecurity Law (which went into effect on June 1) and a raft of other recent statutes, the Intelligence Law places ill-defined and open-ended new security obligations and risks not only on U.S. and other foreign citizens doing business or studying in China, but in particular on their Chinese partners and co-workers.

    Of special concern are signs that the Intelligence Law’s drafters are trying to shift the balance of these legal obligations from intelligence “defense” to “offense”—that is, by creating affirmative legal responsibilities for Chinese and, in some cases, foreign citizens, companies, or organizations operating in China to provide access, cooperation, or support for Beijing’s intelligence-gathering activities.

    The new law is the latest in an interrelated package of national security, cyberspace, and law enforcement legislation drafted under Xi Jinping. These laws and regulations are aimed at strengthening the legal basis for China’s security activities and requiring Chinese and foreign citizens, enterprises, and organizations to cooperate with them. They include the laws on Counterespionage (2014), National Security (2015), Counterterrorism (2015), Cybersecurity (2016), and Foreign NGO Management (2016), as well as the Ninth Amendment to the PRC Criminal Law (2015), the Management Methods for Lawyers and Law Firms (both 2016), and the pending draft Encryption Law and draft Standardization Law.

    Tanner, M.S. Beijing’s New National Intelligence Law: From Defense to Offense (July 20, 2017). United States: Lawfare.

    China’s companies rewrite rules to declare Communist Party ties – Nikkei Asia – the latest party congress has heralded a new chapter in state capitalism with all of China’s companies rewriting rules to declare Communist Party ties, rather than shareholder responsibility.

    Business

    The cost of doing business amidst the culture wars is an entirely new question of risk | CityAM 

    China

    For Young Chinese, Even State Sector Jobs Are No Longer a Safe Bet the public sector hasn’t lived up to its reputation of being a safe haven. Nearly three years into the pandemic, many of China’s local governments are facing eye-watering fiscal deficits and implementing austerity measures. And those cuts are hitting civil servants hard. Wang had originally expected to earn at least 250,000 yuan ($34,600) per year at his new job. In reality, he estimates he’s being paid just 160,000 yuan. His basic salary has been cut by 30%; his social insurance payments haven’t risen as promised; part of his annual bonus has never been paid. Instead, Wang finds himself forced to work regular unpaid overtime shifts, helping to implement the town’s virus-control policies, and trying to cut back spending at home. His plans to trade in his boring SUV have been put on hold indefinitely.

    Chinese ‘police stations’ in Canada under investigation | Hong Kong Free Press – there is a definite turning point around the illegal Chinese police operations against its diaspora. I expect United Front activities to be the next point of focus and you could see triad organisations treated less like organised crime and more like the paramiilitary or terrorist arm of the United Front

    China wants homegrown logistics firms to take on FedEx, UPS | Quartz 

    The World According to Xi Jinping: What China’s Ideologue in Chief Really Believes | Foreign Affairs best read in comparison with this: There is no hope the Communist Party can reform — Q&A with Frank Dikötter – The China Project. The FT’s take: Maximum Xi | Financial Times  

    Design

    Chip Shortage Forces Toyota to Issue Metal Keys for Japan Cars | Jalopnik and New York state passes ‘Right to repair’ bill for electronic devices – Telecompaper – both could see a move for more repairable less software cloud dependent products

    Why isn’t the internet more fun and weird? – I was rereading this and it seems more powerful today than it was when I read it back in 2019

    Economics

    How the U.K. Became One of the Poorest Countries in Western Europe – The Atlantic“Between 2003 and 2018, the number of automatic-roller car washes (that is, robots washing your car) declined by 50 percent, while the number of hand car washes (that is, men with buckets) increased by 50 percent,” the economist commentator Duncan Weldon told me in an interview for my podcast, Plain English. “It’s more like the people are taking the robots’ jobs.” That might sound like a quirky example, because the British economy is obviously more complex than blokes rubbing cars with soap. But it’s an illustrative case. According to the International Federation of Robotics, the U.K. manufacturing industry has less technological automation than just about any other similarly rich country. With barely 100 installed robots per 10,000 manufacturing workers in 2020, its average robot density was below that of Slovenia and Slovakia. One analysis of the U.K.’s infamous “productivity puzzle” concluded that outside of London and finance, almost every British sector has lower productivity than its Western European peers. Read alongside – What British politics looks like to the rest of the world – The Face TL;DR a joke that makes their country look good by comparison.

    Economy improves in Q3 but faces mounting risks | Merics on China but the numbers in Europe, in particular Spain and Germany are bad: Eurozone manufacturing output falls at sharpest pace since initial COVID- 19 wave as demand for goods plummets | S&P Global 

    Semiconductor market continues to fall … | EETimes – guess that the economy isn’t going to pick up for a while. You can measure industrial activity and likely predicted consumer demand by following the trends in the semiconductor market. More structural pain due as well – We must prepare for the reality of the Chip Wars | Financial Times 

    Energy

    Japan cannot survive without Russian oil, warns trading house chief | Financial TimesSome analysts have expressed concern about Itochu’s heavy exposure to China through its 10 per cent stake in Citic, but Okafuji stressed that its risks were lower since its investment was in a government-owned company. “Currently, what they are doing in China is to move private assets from private companies to government-owned companies to reduce the gap between the rich and poor,” he said. “Our objective is to contribute to providing a prosperous lifestyle to the Chinese people, so I think the Chinese government welcomes that.” – I expect that the Chinese government and CITIC will tear the face off Itochu

    Finance

    Paul Graham’s Legacy | I, Cringely – god save us from blockchain garbage

    Germany

    Concerns mount over German Chancellor Scholz’s upcoming trip to China | Axios – it looks like there is a battle royale brewing between the German public and their large corporates. Add to this: Ports in a storm: Chinese investments in Europe spark fear of malign influence | South China Morning Post  and Watching China in Europe with Noah Barkin55 percent of Germans believe he (Scholz) is out of his depth), deepens divisions in his government, and undermines its quest for a common European policy toward Beijing, a goal that was spelled out in black and white in the three-party coalition agreement. More worryingly, it shows that Scholz and his advisers still have a steep learning curve on China. Germany’s sway with Beijing depends on a united front in Berlin, in Europe, and across the G7. Scholz has managed to torpedo them all in the span of a few weeks. To be clear, the problem is not that Scholz is meeting with Xi. The party congress showed that Xi may be the only member of China’s leadership who is worth talking to these days. And it is normal for Scholz, who has been chancellor for nearly a year but unable to meet with Xi in person because of China’s restrictive COVID-19 rules, to want to sit down for a face-to-face with the country’s newly anointed leader for life. But the when, where, and how of this first meeting are important. And Scholz has whiffed on all three. The situation is reminiscent of his predecessor Angela Merkel’s decision, two years ago, to hurry through the EU-China Comprehensive Agreement on Investment (CAI) weeks before Joe Biden entered the White House. Like Merkel, Scholz is gifting Xi a geopolitical victory without much in return. And he is voluntarily sacrificing whatever leverage his government might have had with China. He may not realize that but members of his own government—some of whom have been working diligently for months on a new, tougher China strategy—are furious. “As long as the German chancellor doesn’t buy into his own government’s China strategy, then it is worthless,” one German official fumed. “The Chinese can see the divide in Berlin and Europe, and believe me, they will find a way to exploit it. It is absolutely fatal. And what is so stunning is that Scholz has done all of this of his own free will.”

    Hong Kong

    America’s Biggest Financial Firms Are Still Collaborating with the Sanctioned Hong Kong GovernmentAfter an increasing number of critics began to pile on, including the co-chairs of the Congressional Executive Commission on China Representative Jim McGovern and Senator Jeff Merkeley, a coalition of 20 U.S.-based Hong Kong activist groups, and the Wall Street Journal editorial board, Citibank’s Jane Fraser claimed that she had tested positive for Covid-19 and will pull out of the summit. The rest of these executives have only a couple of days to come down with similar illnesses or unexpected family commitments, but I’m not holding my breath and Hong Kong Summit Surrounded by Drama Before It Even Begins – Bloomberg – Top executives pull out after getting Covid; storm approaches. Event aimed at showing city is back in business after pandemic

    National security: Ex-leader of Hong Kong Tiananmen vigil group demands prosecution disclose more info – Hong Kong Free Press HKFP and High-profile national security trial of Hong Kong democrats to begin after Lunar New Year, court reveals – Hong Kong Free Press HKFP 

    BN(O) Hongkongers and Britain’s Chinese proficiency deficit — AgoraHK 

    Ideas

    Are Technologies Inevitable? – by Matt Clancy also worthwhile reading Kevin Kelly’s What Technology Wants

    Japan

    Kiko Mizuhara finds Heaven in Tokyo – The Face 

    Marketing

    9 in 10 marketers spend time in making global marketing locally relevant: report | Advertising | Campaign AsiaMarketers say local requirements are kept in mind by headquarters when making decisions, however, the majority (82%) feel they spend too much time educating HQ on Singaporean nuances and needs. 47% of marketing decision-makers in Singapore say that senior leadership in regional or global offices are misaligned with local marketing teams, there is a lack of local understanding of effective channels, and in some cases, there’s an assumption that a global approach will work across countries. Over a third (36%) of marketers believe in localising content for maximum ROI, however, the local tone, diversity and humour in campaigns is often not well understood by global offices teams

    Media

    Hong Kong editors used Stand News to praise criminals and promote illegal ideologies, says prosecutor at sedition trial | South China Morning Post – which gives you an idea of how far Hong Kong has changed after the National Security Law

    Online

    Inside the world of Wikipedia’s deaditors – The Face 

    Naspers Denies Report It’s Selling Its Tencent Stake to Citic – Caixin Global 

    Retailing

    11.11 shopping festival turns to long-term, sustainable growth | Marketing | Campaign Asia – Amid competition and economic uncertainty, more brand participants in China’s preeminent e-commerce festival in China may be seeking deeper customer engagement beyond driving up GMV with discounts. – Some thoughts: Chinese consumers are changing

    • Growth is changing towards disproportionately benefiting domestic brands and is very much in line with Xi Jinping’s vision
    • Economic growth is happening at the slowest pace in decades affecting consumer confidence and future consumer spend

    The macro-environment is changing too:

    • Economic growth is no longer a Chinese government priority
    • Chinese personal data laws are not marketer friendly

    Security

    US to deploy B-52 bombers to Australia as tensions with China mount | Financial Times 

    ‘We do rely on China — but so does every university’ | Scotland | The Times – admission by Edinburgh university principal

    Cybersecurity

    China to kick off ‘World Internet Conference’ next week with Beijing set to promote its vision of internet governance | South China Morning Post – The annual internet event will see participation from Huawei, Alibaba, Kaspersky and Infosys. Participation by western firms has diminished in recent years amid strict Covid-19 measures and Beijing’s crackdown on Big Tech

    Technology

    Apple’s Online Store and Information Systems Chiefs Are Leaving (AAPL) – Bloomberg
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-31/apple-s-online-store-and-information-sy…

    – The departures mean Apple is losing at least three vice presidents — the highest manager level below Chief Executive Officer Tim Cook’s executive team — in recent weeks. Evans Hankey, Apple’s vice president in charge of industrial design, is also leaving the company, Bloomberg News reported earlier this month. Chief Privacy Officer Jane Horvath has departed Apple in recent weeks as well, taking a position at a law firm

    Vietnam

    Xi Jinping Rolls Out the Red Carpet for Vietnam’s Communist Party Chief – The Diplomat – The elaborate ceremonials of Nguyen Phu Trong’s state visit are a reminder of the alternating attraction and resistance that underpin Sino-Vietnamese relations

    Web of no web

    Metaverse could open new kinds of cybercrime, Interpol warns, with scams operating differently in virtual reality | South China Morning Post 

    Wireless

    Trio conduct 6G reconfigurable intelligent surfaces trials …Reconfigurable intelligent surfaces can be programmed to modulate the phase of electromagnetic waves and reflect signals into blind spots, enhancing coverage and improving user experience. The low cost, low energy consumption and easy deployment, of RIS have attracted broad interest in 6G research and made it a popular candidate technology. The technical trial mainly evaluated the deployment effects and performance of sub6 GHz RIS and mmWave RIS in different indoor and outdoor scenarios. The tests modelled deployment conditions with and without RIS, different incidence and reflection angles, different deployment distances, etc. Recorded performance index parameters included RSRP, throughput and others. The trial participants worked together to carry out several RIS test projects yielding hard data that makes a strong argument in favor of continued RIS technology development.

  • Mobileye & more stuff

    Mobileye public offering by Intel

    Mobileye S-1 Teardown – by Doug O’Laughlin – Intel looks desperate in this examination of the Mobileye S-1 filing.

    Shelley, the autonomous race car
    Shelley the Stanford self driving car that completed Pikes Peak – Silver Blu3

    Israeli origins

    Mobileye is an Israeli based business acquired by Intel. It specialises in advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving. Its EyeQ series chips are used by pretty much every volume car manufacturer. I don’t know if the US sanctions on China for semiconductors will impact Mobileye negatively. The Mobileye EyeQ debuted in 2008 in the BMW 7 series alongside the model’s first hybrid power plant, the first turbocharged petrol engine for the model series and the first time that it had used four-wheel drive. Modern semi-autonomous functions may require several Mobileye EyeQ processors in the one car.

    Acquisition by Intel for EyeQ tech

    Mobileye went public in 2014 and was acquired by Intel in 2017. The same year Mobileye published a mathematical model for safe self-driving cars. In January, Intel announced plans to retake Mobileye public with a sale of a minority stake of the business.

    There’s a number of good arguments for the Intel move:

    Mobileye public offering represents trouble at Intel

    However, the Mobileye public offering makes a lot less sense given the decline of the stock market since the start of 2022. It implies that Intel is desperate for a capital infusion, presumably to fund the rebuild of Intel’s technological prowess under Pat Gelsinger.

    More content related to issues like self driving cars can be found here.

    China

    U.S. charges 7 in alleged plot to repatriate U.S. resident to China | Reuters 

    China’s GDP Delay Shows Politics Trumps All for Communist Party – Bloomberg 

    Islamic State Rhetoric Targets China | Foreign PolicyThe linking of Chinese imperialism to historical Western colonialism in Central and South Asia to some extent echoes contemporary Indian discourse on the contentious China-Pakistan Economic Corridor. Rising Chinese economic expansion via the BRI is especially perceived as a threat to the West’s global dominance, which has also been challenged by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the potential U.S.-China conflict over Taiwan. Amid the chaos in a transition from a unipolar to a bipolar world order, the Islamic State-Khorasan sees an opportunity to establish the Islamic State’s global caliphate. – I can’t see China getting cooperation from western countries or even India on this. Pakistan has proven itself to be an inconsistent unreliable partner over the decades and Russia has its focus elsewhere. Consider in concert with: China Blocks Polish Delegation’s Flight to Korea – The Chosun IlboThere was no explanation from Beijing for the tantrum, but Poland is among the most vociferous Eastern European countries and NATO members seeking to increase armaments due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and China seems to be siding with Putin. – interesting that the paper thinks this is aimed at Poland. This looks like a nail in the coffin for BRI and European market access for China

    Shang-Yi Chiang says he will never return to work in China | DigiTimes – Mr Chiang is a star in semiconductor development and formerly worked at TSMC and had been a vice chairman of Chinese manufacturer SMIC. He was a key signifier for Taiwanese engineers that the Chinese businesses were good to work for. His leaving SMIC and this assertion about China will hurt China’s efforts to catch up and surpass, you can’t overstate the impact of Mr Chiang’s coming out and saying this

    Design

    AI-generated series depicts banff as extraterrestrial park 

    Economics

    The Financial Times is the only UK newspaper that could have this honest discussion on Brexit. Interesting that political parties still can’t engage with the issue from an economic point-of-view. The anger and unrest that could break out if parties did engage with it could be devastating.


    Yahoo Finance Tech newsletter with Daniel Howley | The pandemic rubber band is hitting the tech industry.
    – The recent bad news in the tech industry could be a delayed blow from the pandemic. Interest rate hikes, inflation hovering at 40-year highs, and sinking demand are hitting tech companies that have benefited from two years of pandemic-driven growth that saw valuations for some companies eclipse the $2 trillion mark. “As we entered the pandemic, everybody was afraid that there were going to be these disastrous layoffs and it was going to be horrible. And there were, very briefly, in a few places…but that immediately turned around,” TECHnalysis president and chief analyst Bob O’Donnell told Yahoo Finance. “In a weird way, it almost feels like now we’re getting some of the impact of the pandemic after the fact,” he added. “I think people are recognizing they maybe overextended their hiring when they expected some of the growth that happened during the pandemic to continue in the tech industry.

    Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson: Stocks to avoid amid inventory problem – many retailers and firms suffering from a supply glut due to the whiplash effect on supply chains during COVID-19

    Ethics

    Nike just did it – by Judd Legum – Popular Information – we’ll see how the rubber meets the road on brand purpose if this story gets mainstream media traction…

    Germany

    The Omnipotence of China’s Xi Jinping: “Chairman of Everything” – DER SPIEGEL – his influence extends all the way to Germany. For companies like Volkswagen or Mercedes, China is the key sales market. In early November, Olaf Scholz will be traveling to Beijing for the first time as German chancellor, and despite the ongoing debate about the German economy’s unsustainable dependence on China, he will likely bring along a significant delegation of German executives – what’s interesting is the vulnerability and fragility that Der Spiegel notes in their own country’s political and business elites. Add to this idea, the current debate over Hamburg: EU warned Germany against approving Chinese investment in port – Handelsblatt | ReutersThe European Commission warned the German government last spring not to approve an investment by China’s Cosco into Hamburg’s port, German daily Handelsblatt reported on Friday, citing sources. Shipping giant Cosco last year made a bid to take a 35% stake in one of three terminals in Germany’s largest port in the northern city of Hamburg. Germany’s ruling coalition is divided over whether to approve the investment, government sources say, even as Beijing urges Berlin not to politicize the bid and the port authority warns this could hurt the economy

    Health

    Mental Health in Ads – ASA | CAP 

    Hong Kong

    Hong Kong leader on new property measures, attracting foreign talent | CNBC – my take on this was a desire to get more mainlanders and maybe from the global south. That salary level of $318,000 implies tech entrepreneurs or mid-career finance bros

    Screening of Batman film scrapped after Hong Kong censors say it is ‘not appropriate’ for outdoor showing – Hong Kong Free Press HKFPThe Dark Knight banned under Hong Kong’s Film Censorship Ordinance, organisers of movies screenings are required to submit works to the Office for Film, Newspaper and Article Administration (OFNAA) for film classification and clearance. Films must meet criteria relating to depictions of violence, cruelty and offensive language or behaviour. Since the passing of the national security law, censorship has been tightened to require authorities to evaluate whether the exhibition of a film would be “contrary to the interests of national security.” – presumably interests of national security includes a plot where Batman comes to Hong Kong to pursue an enemy, a corrupt Chinese businessman who laundered money for a mafia group. Just waiting for commercial disputes to be ruled ‘contrary to the interests of national security’ and the banking sector get screwed over

    Hong Kong to ban cannabis compound CBD from Feb, with up to 7-year jail term for possession to match heroin, cocaine – Hong Kong Free Press HKFP 

    Hong Kong court allows media tycoon Jimmy Lai to hire UK lawyer for national security trial – Hong Kong Free Press HKFPThe judge ruled on Wednesday that issues which would arise during the trial, such as how the national security law and the sedition law should be understood in relation to freedom of expression, were “of great general public importance.” – what’s of more interest is the reasons why the Hong Kong government opposed his appointment. A lack of alternative counsel wasn’t seen as a reason to bring in the British lawyer. They described the case as lacking complexity as an additional reason – however it will be interesting to see if they view it as being sufficiently complex to move to the mainland when Owen becomes involved… and National security: Hong Kong court allows police to search journalistic materials stored on Jimmy Lai’s phones – Hong Kong Free Press HKFP“Although always subject to the protection and procedural safeguards based on public interest and vigilant judicial scrutiny, journalistic material is not immune from search and seizure in the investigation of any criminal offence,” the judgement read. “As a matter of principle, the same must be true for offences endangering national security.” Excluding journalistic materials from the definition of “specified evidence” would also reduce the effectiveness of police investigation and prevent the national security law from serving its legislative purpose, which was to “effectively” stop, prevent, and punish offences endangering national security, the judges wrote.

    Ideas

    Kevin Kelly and techno-optimism

    Kevin Kelly: The Case for Optimism 

    Innovation

    Great video from Asianometry on the history of field programmable gate array.

    Japan

    Toyota Starts Plant in Junta-Led Myanmar Over a Year After Coup – WSJToyota began assembling one or two Hilux pickup trucks a day at its plant in Yangon last month, a spokeswoman for the Japanese auto maker said Wednesday. She said Toyota wanted to contribute to the industrial development of Myanmar and the livelihood of local employees and their families. The car maker’s decision to begin production in Myanmar highlights a divide among foreign companies over whether to withdraw from the country, whose elected government was ousted in February 2021. As of the beginning of this year, close to two dozen major foreign companies had decided to suspend business operations in Myanmar, including energy giants Chevron Corp. and TotalEnergies SE and Japanese beer maker Kirin Holdings Co., according to the World Bank. Toyota had previously been included on that list. Companies suspending operations have cited shareholder pressure and a worsening human-rights situation among other reasons. Some activists have pushed companies to pull out of Myanmar to isolate or bankrupt the military junta – sounds more like assembly of knock down kits, likely coming in from Thailand

    Korea

    Kakao co-CEO Whon Namkoong quits over South Korea app outage chaos | SCMP – while its being described as a fire, it might not be an accident. The Koreans are still investigating. What’s more shocking is that there was one chokepoint of failure in a single data centre which took out both Naver and KakaoDaum services

    Marketing

    Tough times and low confidence call for bold action | WPPWhen economic indicators are tough and consumer confidence is low, remember that brands with strong value propositions are 100% more recommended and 91% more loved than the rest, says WPP’s Lindsay Pattison We are in uncharted waters – consumers and businesses alike. Inflation has spiked, interest rates are on the up, the impacts of war are unknowable, and the OECD’s Consumer Confidence Index

    Interesting that brands addressing UK consumers engage in political schadenfreude – Brands React On Social As Liz Truss Resigns As UK Prime Minister | The Drum – this is going beyond purpose to revel in the moment

    Maíra Rahme’s Workshop and Meeting Energizers template | Miroverse 

    McLaren to Use Digital Ad Screens on its F1 Cars 

    Materials

    Read This: The Tech Helping EV Makers Clean up The Supply Chain 

    The stubborn persistence of paper in a digital world | Financial Times 

    Online

    Into the Innerverse: Inside Bastille’s first virtual concert – Unreal Engine 

    Frontier influencers: the new face of China’s propaganda | Australian Strategic Policy Institute | ASPI 

    Quality

    High-Tech Cars Are Killing the Auto Repair Shop | WIRED – technology is negatively impacting the owner experience of car owners due to long repair times, if the parts can even be found

    Retailing

    This Year Next Year: 2022 E-Commerce & Retail Media Forecast – GroupM 

    Security

    VMware bug with 9.8 severity rating exploited to install witch’s brew of malware 

    The Return of Industrial Warfare | Royal United Services Institute read in conjunction with: Chokepoints – Center for Security and Emerging TechnologyChina’s most acute “chokepoints” are technologies—particularly high-end electronic components and specialized steel alloys—dominated by one or a handful of companies based in the United States or other like-minded democracies. Rather than playing for the “national team,” Chinese companies—both private and state-owned—often prioritize their brands and bottom lines over marching in lockstep with Beijing’s industrial policies. Many PRC firms choose to buy vital high-end components from trusted foreign suppliers because they harbor doubts about the quality of goods provided by domestic vendors. Technological breakthroughs made by Chinese universities and research institutes frequently fail to find commercial applications, leaving the PRC market dominated by foreign products.

    China’s Chip Firm Says It Will Be Able to Continue Tapping TSMC Despite US Ban – Bloomberg and US Eyes Expanding China Tech Ban to Quantum Computing and AI – Bloomberg 

    Australia investigates claims China tried to hire former military pilots | South China Morning Post – Australia’s Defence Minister Richard Marles said he had asked the defence department to investigate claims that former Australian military pilots had also been recruited to join a South African flight school that operated in China. “I would be deeply shocked and disturbed to hear that there were personnel who were being lured by a pay check from a foreign state above serving their own country,” Marles said in a statement. “I have asked the department to investigate these claims and come back to my office with clear advice on this matter.” and Britain and Australia plan steps to stop China hiring their pilots — Radio Free Asia 

    US Chip Sanctions and Covid Spawn China’s Secondhand Semiconductor Market – Bloomberg – wait until this starts killing people. The Japanese have a number of specialist companies who validate semiconductors and test them to make sure that they work as advertised

    Software

    AI-generated images open multiple cans of worms | Axios and AI-generated digital art spurs debate about news illustrations | Axios 

    Wireless

    Anti-Xi Jinping Posters Are Spreading in China via AirDrop | Vice News 

  • Whats in my NOW readers – welcome

    I had completely forgotten that I had written my contribution to Whats in my NOW right at the end of August. Autumn is now well and truly here in London with rainy nights and a carpet of fallen leaves of various hues; we don’t really get spectacular fall colours a la upstate New York or Vermont. London is actually quite dry compared to much of the UK which is why I can get away with an unlined Carhartt chore coat, rather than the more common blanket lined coat. You may have better luck finding the unlined version in US vintage clothing and thrift stores.

    Open 24 hours

    Influences

    Prior to starting this blog, I have been an avid reader of Wired magazine and Kevin Kelly’s Cool Tools. The underlying theme of ‘renaissance thinking’ and careful consumption decisions inspired me in this blog’s curation. So it seemed like a natural fit to contribute to Whats in my NOW, when the opportunity arose.

    Choices

    Writing the post (typos and all) for Whats in my NOW forced me to make some tough choices. My Mystery Ranch pack was a no brainer, it is constantly within eyesight of my desk, but to leave out recommending other items were more difficult. Saying ‘no’ became an active creative decision. Do I focus my digital recommendations purely on the basis of utility or do I mix in entertainment? For instance, I missed out the invaluable social bookmarking site Pinboard, so I could include the very underrated 1979 version of Salem’s Lot.

    Writing here

    I write an eclectic range of stuff, some of the focus comes from life experience and the rest from my job as a brand planner. A brand planner in an advertising agency synthesises business problems to something that creative teams can ideate around, it exists in ambiguity which I hope will keep me in a role that won’t be imminently replaced by machine learning technology of some sort. This also means that I am a constant student of my environment.

    Keeping in touch

    A good deal of my wider learning has come from using RSS. If you would like to follow this blog, its RSS can be found here and it would be an ideal opportunity to try out Newsblur.

    My contribution can be found here.

    (My contribution was originally on the email newsletter platform Revue, but owners Twitter closed it down on January 18, 2023, thankfully my post was saved on the Cool Tools blog instead. So I replaced the above link with something that works.)

  • Manchester Chinese consulate + more stuff

    Manchester Chinese consulate

    Mid afternoon Sunday saw an incident outside and inside the Manchester Chinese consulate. The Manchester Chinese consulate caters for the second largest Chinese community in the UK. Manchester airport before COVID had direct flights to China and Hong Kong. Given the large British Chinese population in the area, it also has a community of Hong Kongers who desire democracy.

    My understanding of what happened:

    • Chinese diplomats didn’t want a protest right outside the Manchester Chinese consulate
    • On the first day of the party congress at home in Beijing, some staff emerged from the consulate wearing anti-stab vests and riot police helmets to smash protestor banners and drive them away. Police were slow to intervene
    • Protesters defended themselves
    • The Manchester Chinese consulate staff retreated to their grounds including the Consul General who has been out walking.
    • A protestor was dragged through their gates and given a beating, he was eventually extracted by police belatedly reacting to the fight
    • The Consul General was seen pulling the hair of the protestor as well and later admitted it

    The Manchester Chinese consulate incident evoked memories of the London Chinese embassy conduct in 1967 during the cultural revolution. This is particularly resonant given the direction that China has taken under the leadership of Xi Jinping and his unprecedented third term makes comparison to Mao Zedong apropos. UK police open probe into assault of protester inside Chinese consulate | Financial Times 

    Extradition law Protest at Admiralty, Hong Kong
    johnlsl
    Extradition law Protest at Admiralty, Hong Kong
    反送中大遊行(金鐘段)

    Business

    Pfizer Executive: in-Person Work Is ‘Critical’ to Workplace CultureNearly 2 years after the company helped to develop the Covid vaccine, Pfizer’s Angela Hwang said it’s time to get back to the office. Though many worked from home during the vaccine’s development, Pfizer’s culture was “banked” from years of in-person work, she said.  Some companies have recently faced backlash for requiring in-person work. – Not so sure how well this will go for them.

    BMW to end electric Mini production in the UK next year | Financial Times – not terribly surprising. I expect for production to completely close in Oxford soon. Mini is no longer a brand reliant on being British so the writing was on the wall since Brexit

    China

    China’s internet scrubbed of rare protest against ‘dictator’ Xi Jinping | Financial Times – this is a ballsy move in China under previous administrations, let alone under the Xi administration during the run up to the 20th party congress where they will appoint Xi for a third term and raise him to Mao-like status.

    We want food, not PCR tests. We want freedom, not lockdowns. We want respect, not lies. We want reform, not a Cultural Revolution. We want a vote, not a leader. We want to be citizens, not slaves

    The protest poster containing ‘The Six We’s’

    Elderly suicide rates mar Chinese leader Xi Jinping’s ‘victory’ over rural poverty — Radio Free Asia and Xi Jinping, forever – by Noah Smith – Noahpinion 

    How a Tycoon Linked to Chinese Intelligence Became a Darling of Trump Republicans | The New Yorker – Miles Guo profiled

    Consumer behaviour

    I know that the Elvis memorabilia dropped massively in price as his fans went into care homes or died off. Antiques and art go through cycles of ‘what’s in’ and out for that matter. Doug DeMuro asks a similar question about car collecting baby boomers. A lot of this is down to cultural relevance for collectors. DeMuro notes that ‘brass era’ cars from the 1910s onwards have already seen declines in price and demands.

    The Covid-19 Baby Bump: The Unexpected Increase in U.S. Fertility Rates in Response to the Pandemic | NBERChildbearing in the U.S. among foreign-born mothers declined immediately after lockdowns began—nine months too soon to reflect the pandemic’s effects on conceptions. We also find that the COVID pandemic resulted in a small “baby bump” among U.S.-born mothers. The 2021 baby bump is the first major reversal in declining U.S. fertility rates since 2007 and was most pronounced for first births and women under age 25, which suggests the pandemic led some women to start their families earlier. Above age 25, the baby bump was also pronounced for women ages 30-34 and women with a college education, who were more likely to benefit from working from home. The data for California track the U.S. data closely and suggest that U.S. births remained elevated through the third quarter of 2022

    Culture

    Translation: Xi Jinping on Literature, Art, and Politics after Tiananmen | U.S.-China Perception Monitor

    Energy

    Verdagy Gets Closer to Green Hydrogen Target – EE Times 

    Ethics

    Letter from Hong Kong Advocacy Groups: U.S. Financial Institutions’ Planned Hong Kong Summit Will Undermine U.S. Foreign Policyexecutives will meet with sanctioned government officials including Chief Executive John Lee as they help Hong Kong convince the world that it’s business as usual in the city—that despite the authoritarian crackdown of the past three years, investors should return. This financial summit is more than just a conference: it represents a watershed moment in our fight to hold Hong Kong officials accountable and deter others across the world who might seek to snuff out democratic rights and commit human rights abuses. If the U.S. Government takes no action to prevent even its own banks from undermining U.S. policy with respect to Hong Kong, then it will send a message to the world that the U.S. does not intend to defend the principles it espouses. Investment will return to the city, and the Hong Kong government, the CCP, and other authoritarian regimes will learn that human rights abuses are easily forgotten by the West—especially when lots of money is involved

    Health

    Telemedicine is Dying – Marginal REVOLUTION 

    Hong Kong

    Global cities are fragile by nature. Here are some on their way down | Financial TimesChina’s Communist party distrusts global cities. It’s crushing Hong Kong, and people are fleeing. When a marquee 800-flat project opened last month, zero apartments sold. Hong Kong, fifth on Kearney’s global-city ranking in 2019, is regressing into what some call “just another Chinese city”. Beijing and Shanghai, among Kearney’s top 10 last year, have also lost access to the world, supposedly because of quarantine restrictions. Last month, China averaged about 100 international flights a day, down 96 per cent since 2020, says Variflight. After this week’s party congress, these cities may become global again, or perhaps those days are over

    Innovation

    The EOS System 30th Anniversary – Developers Look Back on the History of the EOS System – Part 1 – Canon Camera Museum – on the history of modern autofocus camera design. The power consumption changes between film and digital cameras is especially interesting

    Luxury

    Luxury’s grand illusion needs the wealthy to keep faith | Financial Times – interesting observations on LVMH brand and product architecture

    Uncovering the Fiorucci Art Car: A Blueprint for Today’s Collabs – I wonder how this compares with BMW’s Art Car project?

    Materials

    The Masks We’ll Wear in the Next Pandemic – The Atlantic 

    Online

    Scoop: Meta ending support for Instant Articles | Axios

    South Korea’s KakaoTalk outage shows need for regulation amid ‘entanglement’ of public, private sectors | South China Morning Post 

    Security

    Wi-Fi spy drones used to snoop on financial firm • The Register 

    Security Experts Warn Most Apple Apps On iOS 16 Bypass VPN Connections / Digital Information World 

    Iran planning to send missiles, drones to Russia for Ukraine war, officials say – The Washington Post – what is Russia giving in exchange for the missiles?

    Clarifying Responsible Cyber Power: Developing Views in the U.K. Regarding Non-intervention and Peacetime Cyber Operations – Lawfarethe U.K. government’s strategic communication about cyber has included prominent speeches by successive foreign secretaries and attorneys general, as well as by senior securocrats such as the GCHQ director. This division of effort in the public communication about U.K. strategy makes sense, incorporating senior political leaders with responsibility for foreign policy and the law as well as leading securocrats who, as career officials rather than politicians, speak with a different kind of authority and independence from partisan politics. Cumulatively, this helps to advance the U.K.’s emerging narrative about the responsible, democratic use of cyber power by nation-states. Fleming’s remarks also emphasized that the U.K.’s cyber operations were “ethical, proportionate and legal.” As a proponent of responsible state behavior in cyberspace, it is not surprising that the U.K. twice (in 2018 and 2022) has used a major speech by its attorney general to develop the legal aspects of the case for responsible cyber power

    Former WSJ reporter says law firm used Indian hackers to sabotage his careerSolomon’s suit is the latest in a series of legal actions that follows Reuters’ reporting about hired hackers operating out of India. In June, Reuters reported on the activities of several hack-for-hire shops, including Delhi area-companies BellTroX and CyberRoot, that were involved in a decade-long series of espionage campaigns targeting thousands of people, including more than 1,000 lawyers at 108 different law firms. At the time, Reuters reported that people who had become hacking targets while involved in at least seven different lawsuits had each launched their own inquiries into the cyberespionage campaign. That number has since grown. Azima, Solomon’s former source, is among those who have gone to court over the alleged hacking. His lawyers, like Solomon’s, allege that Dechert worked with BellTroX, CyberRoot and a slew of private investigators to steal his emails and publish them to the web. BellTroX and CyberRoot are not parties to the suit and could not immediately be reached. Executives at both firms have previously denied wrongdoing. Solomon and Azima allege that Dechert undertook the hack-and-leak operation in the interest of its client, Sheikh Saud bin Saqr al-Qasimi, ruler of the Middle Eastern emirate of Ras Al Khaimah. Reuters has reported that lawyers for Ras Al Khaimah’s investment agency – RAKIA – used the emails to help win a fraud lawsuit filed against Azima in London in 2016

    American technology boosts China’s hypersonic missile program – The Washington Post“In this case the American technology is superior — we can’t do certain things without foreign technology,” said one Chinese scientist who works in a university lab that conducts testing for hypersonic vehicles. “There isn’t the same technical foundation.” Some of the U.S. firms whose products are reaching Chinese military research groups have been the beneficiaries of Defense Department grants to spur cutting-edge innovation, according to a federal program database, creating the specter of the Pentagon subsidizing Chinese military advances. “It’s very disturbing, because the bottom line is that technology that can be used for military hypersonics was funded by U.S. taxpayers, through the U.S. government, and ended up in China,” – war by other means….

    Boris Bondarev: The Sources of Russian Misconduct | Foreign Affairs – interesting insight, Russia’s diplomats were blind sided by the Ukraine invasion when it happened, finding out from news wire stories in foreign media

    Singapore

    Interesting take on how Singapore will evolve with a transition of power happening in Singapore away from the Lee family who have dominated the city state since independence.

    Taiwan

    Really good presentation on the international importance of Taiwan. Its not just about TSMC but also about the global supply lines that run through Taiwanese waters

    TSMC Cuts Expansion Plan to $36B as Outlook Sours – EE Times 

    Web of no web

    Lufthansa to allow AirTags in luggage after all | Boing Boing – this has proved to be absolute carnage for Lufthansa’s reputation

    Microsoft’s headset for the military reportedly results in ‘physical impairments’ during tests – GeekWire – issues include headaches and nausea amongst soldiers trialing the headsets

    Wireless

    South Korean Internet Giant Offers Glimpse of a 5G Private Network Future – WSJ – Naver rolls out corporate 5G wireless network