Category: software | 軟件 | 소프트웨어 | ソフトウェア

Soon after I started writing this blog, web services came up as a serious challenger to software. The thing that swung the tide in software’s favour was the rise of the mobile app ecosystems.

Originally mobile apps solved a gnarly problem for smartphone companies. Web services took time to download and were awkward compared to native software.

Now we tend to have a hybrid model where the web holds authentication functionality and the underlying database for many applications to work. If you pick up a Nokia N900 today, while you can appreciate its beautiful design, the device is little more than a glowing brick. Such is the current symbiosis between between software apps and the web services that support them.

That symbiosis is very important, while on the one hand it makes my Yahoo! Finance and Accuweather apps very useful, it also presents security risks. Some of the trouble that dating app Grindr had with regards security was down to the programmers building on third party APIs and not understanding every part of the functionality.

This means that sometimes things that I have categorised as online services might fall into software and vice versa. In that respect what I put in this category takes on a largely arbitrary view of what is software.

The second thing about software is the individual choices as a decision making user, say a lot about us. I love to use Newsblur as an RSS reader as it fits my personal workflow. I know a lot of other people who prefer other readers that do largely the same job in a different way.

  • Sony and Honda + more news

    Sony and Honda

    Sony and Honda reveal plans to jointly make and sell electric vehicles | TechCrunch – this might also explain why Sony’s ‘concept’ car seemed to have a lot of money put into it, to make it look like a finished product a couple of years ago. Sony and Honda’s EV venture is a lesson for corporate Japan | Financial Times – the FT makes a number of good points about the relatively junior role that Honda is taking in the endeavour and that Sony making a decision to go independent indicates that consolidation of vendors in the electrical vehicle space is far off. I expect that the Sony and Honda deal in this respect is partly the pressures driven by the amount of ‘dumb capital’ chasing electric and automotive vehicles.

    Sony and Honda likely see their deal as an antidote to that pressure. There were also fair comments made about relative software expertise between Sony and Honda, however I would argue that there is still a need for stable underpinnings of the software from the likes of QNX. But in the critique of the previous motor industry partnerships isn’t fair. For instance, Yamaha has a long history of taking concepts and designs to Toyota for them to build them. The most iconic of which was the Toyota 2000GT. So in many respects Sony and Honda are working on similar heritage to others.

    It is interesting that we haven’t seen a similar pairing to Sony and Honda between Samsung and Renault, given their Korean car assembly joint venture. It is also interesting that Apple has failed to secure a similar partnership to Sony and Honda in its car efforts so far.

    China

    Baby bust: what happens when China’s population shrinks? | Chinese Whispers | The Spectator

    How bad could China-US relations get? With Rana Mitter – New Statesman 

    China’s Two Traps by Keun Lee – Project SyndicateChina’s economic slowdown suggests, the next phase of its development is rife with challenges. The country risks being ensnared by two traps: the “middle-income trap” (the tendency of fast-growing developing economies to lose momentum once they reach middle-income status) and the Thucydides Trap (when tensions between an insecure incumbent hegemon and a rising power lead to conflict)

    Two sessions’ 2022: China sets GDP growth target of ‘around 5.5 per cent’ | South China Morning Post – defence budget rising by 7.1 percent to 1.3 trillion yuan

    WeDoctor Is Said to Cut Workforce After Delay in Going Public – Bloomberg 

    Xi Jinping Warns Missteps on Ethnic Issues Would Destabilize China – Bloomberg 

    China’s President Xi reiterates grain security, urges for domestic dominance | Reuters – interesting how food security has been a recurring theme for Chinese policy makers over the past few years

    Culture

    50 Objects From Around the World #18: Chinese Kitchen God | Financial Times you can find the full set of objects here: The home in 50 objects from around the world | Financial Times

    Why are Chinese students so keen on the UK? – BBC News

    Why are Chinese students so keen on the UK? – BBC NewsThe initial attraction of Glasgow – as well as its solid academic reputation – to many was how the Victorian university buildings looked on the brochures, rather like Hogwarts from the Harry Potter films

    Design

    Search Party — Real Life – the psychology that goes into Google’s ‘I’m feeling lucky’ button

    Economics

    How Russia’s airline industry was pushed to the brink in a week | Financial Times – the bit that this doesn’t mention is the large payments that the Russian government used to enjoy from foreign airlines going over its territory to reach east Asia

    How are the Big Sanctions hurting Russia so far? – Interesting read that somewhat matches up with what I wrote about Ukraine here.

    How China’s Ambitious Belt and Road Plans for East Africa Came Apart – The DiplomatChinese actors typically approach BRI deals with two contradictory assumptions: First, the political leadership with whom they are dealing is either too weak or too venal to challenge contract terms that decidedly favor China; and, second, these same leaders will be strong enough to fend off resistance to ambitious infrastructure projects by opposition politicians and civil society groups while also mobilizing the financial resources necessary to sustain expensive, long term projects. – they expect the kind of smooth running process that they would have in China, but not surprisingly don’t get it

    Energy

    Tory MPs urge bigger ‘floating’ wind target to boost energy security | Financial Times – I am surprised that tidal isn’t getting more prominence as an energy source

    A reprieve for coal? Xi Jinping urges ‘realism’ on China’s road to carbon goals | South China Morning Post – Green transition can’t be made overnight and progress must be steady, he says. Focus on stability comes as fossil fuel use rises and Russia’s invasion pushes up energy prices – translation ‘all that green energy stuff we said at Davos was just to make anxious white people happy and get them off our back’. Its also interesting to see that Chinese subsidies on electric car purchases are being removed: China to end NEV subsidy policy at end of 2022 

    Finance

    The EU is homing in on dirty money – CEPS 

    Chinese lenders squeeze African borrowers even harder | Financial TimesChinese lenders are imposing even more stringent collateral requirements on low-income country borrowers than previously known as they seek to hedge risks from their extensive overseas development finance programme. Under a $200mn loan from China Eximbank for the expansion and modernisation of Entebbe airport, the Ugandan government is required to channel all revenue from the country’s only international airport into an escrow account, according to the contract obtained by AidData, a US-based research lab. The document highlights a long-running controversy over the loan to Uganda’s government, which damaged its relationship with the bank. And more here: China cobalt mine deal was ‘injustice’: my country did not get anything, ex-DRC leader says | South China Morning Post 

    Hong Kong

    Chinese fitness app Keep files for Hong Kong IPO · TechNode – interesting that this is going ahead given the kind of data that Keep would have. One only needs to look at the opsec failures that Strava revealed of American forces in the Middle East and Afghanistan

    Chinese EV start-up NIO seeks quicker secondary listing in Hong Kong via introduction, skips fundraising | South China Morning Post 

    Ideas

    In 1961, MLK taught a college class. Its syllabus might be contentious today | Financial Times – Dr King’s course on classical political philosophy

    Our New Cloud-Based Ruling Class by Yanis Varoufakis – Project SyndicateToday, however, a new form of capital is emerging and is forging a new ruling class, perhaps even a new mode of production. 

    Innovation

    Europe’s quantum tech on show at MWC – eeNews Europe 

    Japan

    Rakuten Symphony acquires Kubernetes platform Robin.io | TechCrunch – likely an acquihire

    Toshiba CEO suddenly resigns amid opposition to restructuring plans | Reuters 

    The war in Ukraine is going to change geopolitics profoundly | The EconomistJapan, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan joined in sanctions against Russia, as did Australia. The change of mood in Japan has been particularly striking. Over the past decades it has tirelessly wooed Russia, in part to counterbalance China but also in the hope of settling the problem of four northern islands seized by the Soviet Union. Abe Shinzo, the former prime minister, met Mr Putin 27 times, including a trip to an onsen bathhouse. Now, under Kishida Fumio, Japan has frozen the share of Russia’s central bank reserves held in the country and is urging fence-sitters to take a clearer stance against its former pal. The end of the cold war was never going to usher in perpetual peace. But the Ukraine crisis is giving new form to the possibilities for future conflict and ways in which it may be averted. It is raising the previously outré possibility of territory being stripped from a developed country by force. By bringing Russia and China closer together, it is putting a new burden on the system of American alliances that partially encircles them. It has started consolidating Europe’s belief in itself and its ideals, and may increase its willingness to fight for them; it may also be seeing Germany and Japan, a lifetime after their defeat in the second world war, taking on new martial roles – the military rise of Japan will be worrying for China

    Korea

    Chinese game developers drive $20bn market cap wipeout of South Korea rivals | Financial Times

    Materials

    Metrology Primer – by Doug (mule) – Fabricated Knowledge – well worth reading if you want to know more about the ins and outs of semiconductor manufacturing

    Media

    How a (Canadian-founded) company you’ve never heard of took control of the porn industry | National Post – great article on the rise of tube sites like Pornhub and the platform’s moderation problems Behind Pornhub’s decade-old moderation problems 

    Australia’s Standoff Against Google and Facebook Worked—Sort Of | WIRED 

    Security

    Chinese state-owned think tank flags national security risks of metaverse, citing potential political and social problems | South China Morning Post 

    Ukraine conflict risks uncontrollable escalation of cyberwarfare – Nikkei AsiaWhen and if Russia, or some other advanced-hacking state, pulls these tricks against a better-prepared adversary, resulting in a tit-for-tat escalation that could quickly spin out of control. Given the historical weakness of digital security in much of the U.S.’s civilian infrastructure, notably the electric utilities and grid, we can imagine a situation in which Russia or China, or some other entity causes not just inconvenience but casualties, including deaths. What would the U.S. do then? If Russia took down electricity from Boston to Washington, New York to Chicago, the American people would get very, very angry. What would an American government do next? The U.S. has said, with strategic vagueness, that an attack on critical infrastructure, including digital infrastructure, could ultimately trigger a military response. Then what? In 1962, futurist Herman Kahn published “Thinking the Unthinkable,” pondering nuclear-war scenarios in ways that few of the people who had control over those civilization-killing weapons had ever considered. No one wanted to prevent nuclear war more than Kahn, in part because he understood what it would mean. We do not believe that nearly enough thinking about cyber-unthinkables is taking place today, nor the escalation scenarios that would bring them on.

    Chinese telecoms giant Huawei has been helping Putin’s efforts to stabilise Russia’s internet | Daily Mail OnlineHuawei, which reportedly has five research centres in Russia, is said to have ‘rushed to Russia’s aid’ to support its internet network in the face of the attacks. A report, which appeared on a Chinese news site but was later deleted, claimed that Huawei would use its research centres to train ‘50,000 technical experts in Russia’.The Mail on Sunday is now covering the kind of stories that previously only featured on the English language pages of late lamented Apple Daily Online published out of Hong Kong.

    Singapore

    Sea Earnings: Market Value Falls to $132 Billion – Bloomberg

    Grab Loss Swells as Pandemic Hampers Ride-Hailing Demand – Bloomberg and interesting analysis on Grab Telegram: Contact @finbiteinsights TL;DR cost of acquisition is too high

    ‘They took my world’: fashion giant Shein accused of art theft | Art and design | The Guardian – how will legal issues like this affect Shein’s ability to list on foreign stock exchanges like Singapore?

    Taiwan

    Political economists’ views over Russia-Ukraine crisis, China and semiconductors (Part 1) | DigiTimes

    Technology

    Arm China CEO asserts semiconductor joint venture’s right to pursue an IPO independent from its SoftBank-owned British parent | South China Morning Post“Arm has written to Chinese authorities that Arm China won’t survive without [the British firm’s] support,” Wu said. He indicated, however, that Arm China has already developed the capability to continue its operations separately from Arm in the UK. The stand taken by Wu in Arm China forms part of a larger effort by the country’s semiconductor industry to overcome US trade sanctions and build a world-class chip supply chain. The dispute with Arm has not slowed down its Chinese joint venture’s business under Wu. Last year, Arm China generated US$700 million in total revenue, including intellectual property licensing and royalty fees. Arm’s share in its China venture was about US$500 million last year, according to Wu. “Arm can’t afford to lose its share of revenue from the Chinese market,” Wu said. He indicated that the Chinese joint venture has hit all its goals – including revenue, net profit, and research and development spending – which were set five years ago. Wu said Arm China’s biggest contribution to the Chinese chip design industry was to open the company’s source codes to domestic customers, “giving them freedom to develop their chips and raise their capabilities to a global level”. He also said he was displeased by Arm’s decision in May 2019 to cease business with Huawei Technologies Co, following Washington’s decision to add the Shenzhen-based telecommunications equipment maker to the US trade blacklist. – I suspect Mr Wu is working on behalf of the Chinese government in ‘war by other means’

    Web of no web

    China starts rebuff of various metaverse trademark applications amid rush to hype the internet’s next generation | South China Morning Post 

    China’s Xinhua jumps on NFT bandwagon with thousands of news photos to be issued as ‘digital collectibles’ | South China Morning Post 

    Alibaba, Tencent rebrand NFT offerings as ‘digital collectibles’ amid Beijing’s scrutiny of new virtual asset market | South China Morning Post 

    China’s local governments rush to embrace metaverse despite state media warnings | South China Morning Post 

  • Coinbase Super Bowl ad

    Coinbase advertises during Super Bowl

    On Monday afternoon, the buzz amongst my colleagues in New York was the Super Bowl from the night before. In particular the advertising and one advert by Coinbase sparked more discussions than others. The advert was divisive. Some people that there was something wrong with their smart TV which had triggered a dodgy screensaver. One person even first thought that the QRcode would take them through to a site that might explain whatever ransomware had hijacked their TV.

    They scanned the QRcode but it didn’t work properly. The reasons for it not working were twofold:

    • The contrast in the QRcode background and foreground wasn’t large enough for certain colours and so wouldn’t scan
    • The coinbase website fell over. This would be spun as unprecedented demand, but the reality was poor execution

    A game console style ROM screen revealed at the end that it was Coinbase. The management would likely pass the whole car crash off as growth hacking.

    Growth hacking

    Growth hacking as a term was attributed to a blog post by Sean Ellis back in 2010. But as a concept it goes back much further. A classic example of growth hacking could be considered to be FMCG staple of ‘buy one, get one free’ or BOGOF. The master of the growth hack was David Wallerstein came up with the idea of supersizing popcorn servings in the 1960s. Wallerstein came up with a behavioural change experiment as business idea based on the insight of that people might want to buy and eat more popcorn, but were simply ashamed of buying two bags at the cinema. Wallerstein was successful in his experiment. Wallerstein was appointed by Ray Kroc to the board of McDonalds in 1968 and then rolled out larger servings in McDonalds restaurants, if you’ve ever been asked if you want a ‘large meal’ with your burger Wallerstein was responsible. This created a whole range of products in restaurants and supermarkets called expandables, from large meals to multi-packs of products.

    A more recent example would be the signature on hotmail.com emails that encouraged whoever received them to get their own email address at hotmail.com. This was effective back when most people had a work or college email address and wanted a home account for personal communications like finding a new job. Gmail took a slightly different approach with an invite scheme that saw early adopters clamouring like they were trying to get in the door of Studio 54 on a Saturday night.

    The original idea of growth hacking is to try a small marketing tactic and refine it based on the feedback that you get. In reality that gets translated into poor thought out showy tactics focused on the short term. The reason for this is that test and learn is done over a short time period and doesn’t incorporate marketing science. The Coinbase advert was a classic example of this.

    Buzz marketing

    Growth hacking is influenced by a number of things. One of which was the concept of ‘scrappiness’ in start-up marketing.

    Startup scrappiness

    During the original dot com boom new online businesses wasted a fantastic amount of money on ineffective advertising. The most iconic example of this would be the pets.com sock pocket advert that featured in the 2000 version of the Super Bowl.

    Car with Yahoos
    Courtesy of Yahoo! Inc. Co founder David Filo is hanging from the rear of the car.

    You saw some businesses like Yahoo! try to do brand building advertising in a more cost effective way. This was known internally at Yahoo! as buzz marketing and in the US, it had its own team.

    Examples of buzz marketing included wrapping employees cars that had been volunteered in the Yahoo! brand. This was listed in the employee handbook as a free ‘perk’ of working at Yahoo!. There were some conditions like you had to keep the wrap on for year and a good behaviour clause.

    The world's first (only?) purple Zamboni

    There were also some sponsorships like the ice machine at the San Jose Sharks stadium and some high traffic billboards. Yahoo! used to have a billboard alongside the 101 freeway going into San Francisco and another in Time Square, New York.

    Our San Francisco billboard

    While the lesson of ‘go for business models that make financial sense’ seems to have been lost as we left the dot.com era further behind. The idea of ‘scrappiness’ stuck. It fitted with the wider concept of ‘struggle culture’ in entrepreneurship.

    In technology, marketing = sales

    On one level, the problem isn’t Coinbase but the technology sector. The truth is that for the most part technology companies don’t do good marketing. My hypotheses around the reasons for this are:

    • Technologists aren’t marketers. For the original technology firms, the products found their own market. Over time a salesforce was introduced and for complex products there might be pre-sales and post sales consultancy. They don’t really know much about marketing science. The sales funnel is the one ‘marketing model’ that managed to make it into Microsoft® PowerPoint® says a lot about the nature of this understanding.
    • To a technologist, every problem looks like a technology challenge. So the answer for great marketing is either in kludges aka hacks, like the Coinbase advert, or algorithmic in nature. And those algorithms are usually based on a poor understanding of marketing featured in the point above
    • Technologists think short term. Brands are transitory if you are looking to be bought out, or are built ‘organically’ in the hands of the victors (Oracle, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Apple, Amazon, Tencent or Alibaba). So building a brand is an alien concept. Why build a brand in a world when you believe in disrupt, or be disrupted? Contrast that with the FMCG world where brands have considerably longer lives. The Nestlé Kit Kat chocolate bar is 86 years old at the time of writing. Procter & Gamble’s Bold washing powder (laundry detergent) is a spritely 57 years old. Baileys Irish Cream liqueur is 48 years old, as is the Mobil 1 range of synthetic engine oils, oil filters, chassis grease, transmission fluids, and gear lubricants. If we think of technology brands with that kind of longevity its likely to be the incumbent telecoms companies, Fujitsu, Hitach and IBM. At the younger end would be the likes of Verbatim, AMD, Intel, Oracle, Western Digital, Microsoft, Apple, Acer and Atari.
    • Disrupt or be disrupted creates delusion. If you believe in the disrupt or be disrupted manifest destiny of technology you probably believe that your ability to market is better than established brands that are actually marketing organisations

    I would guess that Coinbase marketers would tick at least some of these hypotheses. It probably doesn’t help that organisations who should know better are starting to buy into this ‘disrupt or be disrupted’ model.

    Cost of reach

    So, if you’re a technology company like Coinbase, who believes in disruption and ‘knows’ how to market better than marketers? The simple answer is that while digital has managed to get marketers to use its platforms, it has failed to offer the most competitive cost per reach. To achieve the same goals Coinbase would have had to spend an order of magnitude more on YouTube than TV to reach an equivalent audience.

    Brand building

    Finally the reason why the advert contrasted so sharply with the other content that ran during the Super Bowl was because everyone else focused on brand building rather than on brand activation. The reason why they are going for brand building is that the work will keep paying dividends for years. This is something that digital transformation doesn’t reflect well through its algorithms. The Coinbase approach was the equivalent of a TV ad that said click here.

    More information

    Find a Growth Hacker for Your Startup | Startup Marketing (July 26, 2010)

  • Stamps + more news

    The Royal Mail digital stamps

    Warning: Stamps that say ‘1st’ or ‘2nd’ class are going to become unusable from 31 January 2023 – each stamp will have a proprietary QRcode type glyph. The stamp’s glyph will be linked to a digital twin. This isn’t to be used for tracking the letters and the packages that they are affixed to; but purely as a security measure on the stamps. How much effort is this going to take and is it really going to be cheaper than conventional printing technologies to limit stamp fraud? How much of a black economy is there in stamps anyway? While the Royal Mail promises innovative services enabled by the stamps, it isn’t clear what they will be at the moment. Looking at Amazon, the ‘barcode stamps’ as the Royal Mail call them don’t seem to be widely available yet. The Royal Mail has announced but not launched a scheme to swap out your existing stamps for the new design.

    China

    What is most interesting about Eileen Gu isn’t that she switched countries but the narrative of western decline that China is wrapping around this: Cold warrior: why Eileen Gu ditched Team USA to ski for China | The Economist and Winter Olympics: Eileen Gu and the Chimerican Dream – The Olympic freestyle skier has stirred controversy for representing China. She is the product of a vanishing shared space between the Chinese and American elite. As for Gu’s Mum’s background, it would be an ideal model if a screen writers was adapting The Americans as Chinese sleeper agents instead

    Evergrande chair breaks silence to rule out asset fire sale | Financial Times – makes sense

    Wang Huning’s career reveals much about political change in China | The EconomistAs its chief of ideology and propaganda, he is in charge of crafting a very different message: that China practises true democracy, that America’s is a sham and that American power is fading. For a party locked in an escalating ideological war with America, this line is unsurprising. Mr Wang’s role in the struggle is more so. His early writing did not suggest narrow-minded nationalism. He saw weaknesses in America’s system, but did not exaggerate them. He saw problems, too, in China’s. Even more remarkably, he has been crafting the party’s message under three successive leaders.

    China’s family planning agency says it will ‘intervene’ in abortions for unmarried women, teens | South China Morning PostIt aims to ‘improve reproductive health’ and will set up a task force for education and communication projects, according to plan outlining key initiatives for the year. Association will also roll out pilot public health programmes to encourage Chinese to have more than one child, as it tries to reverse declining birth rates – but could China support the orphanages needed or end up the Magdalene laundries with Chinese characteristics?

    A Beijing think tank offered a frank review of China’s technological weaknesses. Then the report disappeared | Science | AAAS 

    Finance

    Who buys the dirty energy assets public companies no longer want? | The Economistprivate equity are buying the businesses. The thing that people forget is that those energy assets are still going to be needed to make paints, plastics, fabrics, pharmaceuticals and lithium ion batteries….

    FMCG

    Ben & Jerry’s Ukraine tweet gets frosty reception from Unilever boss | Unilever | The Guardian – Unilever indicates limits to social purpose

    Hong Kong

    Beijing ready to implement harsher Covid lockdown on Hong Kong | Financial Times 

    Ideas

    What’s interesting about the future of the ideas that aren’t hinged in culture, is how similar they relate to 10 year predictions back in the late 1990s and early 2000s – Internet in 2035 | Pew Research Center 

    The Plausibly Deniable DataBase (PDDB) « bunnie’s blogMost security schemes facilitate the coercive processes of an attacker because they disclose metadata about the secret data, such as the name and size of encrypted files. This allows specific and enforceable demands to be made: “Give us the passwords for these three encrypted files with names A, B and C, or else…”. In other words, security often focuses on protecting the confidentiality of data, but lacks deniability. 

    A scheme with deniability would make even the existence of secret files difficult to prove. This makes it difficult for an attacker to formulate a coherent demand: “There’s no evidence of undisclosed data. Should we even bother to make threats?” A lack of evidence makes it more difficult to make specific and enforceable demands. 

    Thus, assuming the ultimate goal of security is to protect the safety of users as human beings, and not just their files, enhanced security should come hand-in-hand with enhanced plausible deniability (PD). PD arms users with a set of tools they can use to navigate the social landscape of security, by making it difficult to enumerate all the secrets potentially contained within a device, even with deep forensic analysis

    OpenAI Chief Scientist Says Advanced AI May Already Be Conscious | Futurism – wouldn’t there be an incentive for the AI to hide its sentience?

    The metaverse is just a new word for an old idea | MIT Technology Review – agreed

    Korea

    Korea Herald – After being called feminists, these women faced online harassmentOne in 2 men in their 20s in South Korea tends to be anti-feminist, according to a 2018 study released by the Korean Women’s Development Institute, a government think tank. In the same survey, only 1 in 4 young men saw women as “weaker than men” or needing protection. But such strong antagonism against feminism has puzzled many looking from the outside at a country that has the highest gender wage gap among OECD countries. Women also feel less safe than men in the country, according to a 2021 report from the Gender Equality Ministry. Only 21.6 percent of women said they felt safe from crime, as opposed to 32.1 percent of men.

    Marketing

    Miller Lite’s Super Bowl Ad Will Air Only in the Metaverse – this feels more like a PR stunt than a smart marketing one

    Online

    On Meta’s ‘regulatory headwinds’ and adtech’s privacy reckoning | TechCrunch“The investigation shows that gambling platforms do not operate in a silo. Rather, gambling platforms operate in conjunction with a wider network of third parties. The investigation shows that even limited browsing of 37 visits to gambling websites led to 2,154 data transmissions to 83 domains controlled by 44 different companies that range from well-known platforms like Facebook and Google to lesser known surveillance technology companies like Signal and Iovation, enabling these actors to embed imperceptible monitoring software during a user’s browsing experience. The investigation further shows that a number of these third-party companies receive behavioural data from gambling platforms in realtime, including information on how often individuals gambled, how much they were spending, and their value to the company if they returned to gambling after lapsing.”

    Professional specific support – Self-Care Catalyst – is aimed at stressed and burnt out nurse practitioners in the US. I heard about it from my US colleagues and imagine that we will see similar businesses soon

    Security

    US Navy investigates leak of F-35 crash video — Radio Free Asia – how did they get the video off the ship?

    Indonesia to buy 42 Rafale warplanes from France | South China Morning Post – great opportunity for France

    China revises draft rules on data security for business sectors | Reuters 

    Arm’s float ambitions risk being ‘scuttled’ by China boss | The TelegraphAllen Wu reportedly wants 100,000,000s of dollars to cede control of ARM China. I think that he wants ARM lock, stock and barrel and that he is backed by the Chinese government

    ‘You’re treated like a spy’: US accused of racial profiling over China Initiative | The Guardian – US is in a damned if you do, damned if you don’t position on running counter-espionage programmes. If they don’t China will strip the country down to the studs. If they do, they get criticism of racism

    Software

    Ubisoft (UBI) Plans New Assassin’s Creed Game to Help Fill Its Schedule – Bloomberg – was originally an expansion pack. I wonder what’s going on over at Ubisoft?

    Technology

    Intel Announces Billion-Dollar Development Fund, Boosts RISC-V Processors – ExtremeTech

    Telecoms

    Breaking the Internet: China-US Competition Over Technology Standards – The Diplomat

    Web of no web

    The Metaverse Makes No Sense and Here’s Why – Bloomberg 

    Video games’ future is more than the Metaverse: Let’s talk ‘hyper digital reality’ | Playable Futures | GamesIndustry.biz 

  • Handspring + more things

    Springboard a documentary on Handspring

    Handspring was a key part of my first agency job. It was the dot com era, Jeff Hawkins, Donna Dubinsky, and Ed Colligan had founded Palm Inc. and left after it was sold to 3Com. They then went on to make modular PDAs with the Handspring Visor – which tapped into the clear plastic designs pioneered by Apple’s iMac. And then they built the PDA with smartphone capability called Treo. 3Com had made a Palm device in 1999 that used the Mobitex mobile data network, which was more analogous to a two way pager with a limited walled garden of content a la vintage AOL. Palm’s version of the Palm PDA has a common connector that could be used to connect external peripherals, such as the OmniSky sled which converted your PDA into an internet connected smartphone.

    But it was Handspring who had the ‘heat’ and the wherewithal to provide a neat connectivity slot for its peripherals to sit in, providing a neater experience. Springboard is a documentary about Handspring

    Of course, the outcome of PDA based smartphones isn’t all sweetness and light as Scott Galloway shows with our modern mobile device usage.

    Myst

    Ars Technical are doing some great oral histories of games creation. This one on Myst is very close to my heart. What’s particularly interesting is how the game was developed at a moment in time with the transition to CD ROM media. This resulted in a huge leap forward in what the technology was capable of doing, comparable to the early web in terms of creative disruption. It also made me really, really miss HyperCard.

    Jimmy Wang Yu

    Taiwanese martial artist, actor and gangster Jimmy Wang Yu carved the way for Jackie Chan and Bruce Lee in Hong Kong cinema. This documentary on him is first rate.

    Windows

    Interesting CNBC documentary on the hegemonic position of Microsoft Windows in personal computers.

    Audi S1 Hoonitron and vehicles of Cyberpunk 2077

    Ken Block’s collaboration with Audi has produced some interesting material. Growing up in the 1980s, group B rallying held a fascination for me, so that’s what got me interested in the Block / Audi collaboration at first. But what’s interesting about Block’s prototype electric Audi Quattro S1 is the speed at which Audi is able to put together a prototype working car with modern technologies. All of which implies ever more opportunities for automotive customisation for customers and the potential for additive manufacturing at the luxury end of the market. Hoonitron does sound like a late 1970s Taiwanese or Korean copy of a Sony television set.

    While we’re on about car design, there is also this great video on the vehicles in Cyberpunk 2077. 14 out of 10 for pure style.

    Tudor Pelagos FXD

    Tudor have been on point in their marketing. Their new version of the Pelagos has some lovely design cues, even if its modern day association with the French navy is marketing fluff. PELAGOS FXD – more from the Tudor press room.

    Fake socialite

    A graduation project by an art student from the Central Academy of Fine Arts in Beijing did an experiment that has sparked a debate about class, inequality and the massive wealth gap in modern China. In the video you see her attempt to live 21 days for free in Beijing. She disguised herself as a socialite and slept in the halls of extravagant hotels and enjoyed free food and drinks. What surprised me is that the work hasn’t been suppressed and that she hadn’t been arrested. It also shows how Xi Jingping’s concept of common prosperity is designed to tap into a deep tension in society at the moment.

    Paper and glue

    MSNBC put together an amazing documentary on French street artist JR who does giant photo collages as street art. Here’s the trailer.

    https://youtu.be/7NmxynGAmrM

    Hong Kong Christmas

    Hong Kong’s relationship with Christmas is a complicated one. A substantial minority of Hong Kongers are practicing Christians. Until the opening up of China in the late 1970s, Hong Kong was a substantial supplier of toys, Christmas decorations and lights. And then there is the multinational community living alongside Hong Kongers, which brings the western commercialism of Christmas. For many Christmas is a ‘pre-lunar new year celebration, both are big on the colour red and the decorations for one used to bleed into the other in public spaces. So I thought the joy of this Christmas street market might appeal to readers here.

    https://youtu.be/Dpwm7nQGxcg
  • Supply chain disruption + more news

    Supply chain disruption

    Is there an end in sight to supply chain disruption? | Financial Times -There are major barriers to ending supply chain disruption by decoupling from China. Japan is trying to reduce supply chain disruption by replicating Chinese factories in other countries like Thailand and Indonesia. Here are some of things stopping multinational corporations from making that happen. In order to end supply chain disruption, I would imagine that a higher degree of automation is key, which will require corresponding improvements in automation technology. This doesn’t just mean software but also in mechanical engineering. The main issue for fine motor control in robots is the design and price of harmonic drives. This doesn’t operate on a Moore’s Law speed and scale of innovation. Increased automation also likely means major changes in approach to product design. Back in the golden era of consumer electronics just prior to the consumer adoption of the internet, circuit boards were less dense because they were designed for automated ‘pick-and-place’ machines. Nokia had a similar approach to its phones prior to the pivot to Windows and Qualcomm chips. The reason why Apple needs iPhones made in China is because a lot of the final assembly is closer to the work of a watchmaker servicing a mechanical watch than you would credit. So lots of cheap, (younger, smaller, delicate, usually female) hands are required. Our financial system’s obsessive, narrow focus on shareholder value will curtail these movements. Look at how Apple crows about how green they are and yet makes the virtually unrecyclable Air Pods by the million. Until that changes and the computers are assembled from modular boards, closer to their home market the supply chain won’t change despite the political, economic, national security and moral imperatives otherwise. Which is why Apple amongst others point out that they have an inability to move production out of China. This will get even harder as China moves up the semiconductor value chain. Once they are building memory modules and modern silicon fab processes, its game over for manufacturing elsewhere in the electronics sector. China is also the sole provider for many of the ingredients in multi-vitamins and pharmaceutical products. They process and mine just under 90 percent of the world’s rare earth metals – key for a large swathe of technologies from magnets to chips and batteries. They have a similar position in solar cell polysilicon and lithium ion battery ingredients. 

    JAXPORT achieves strong cargo volumes through first three quarters of Fiscal Year 2021
    JAXPORT promises less supply disruption

    So ending supply chain disruption would mean replicating whole ingredient manufacturing chains and industry knowhow that multinationals had migrated to China decades ago. All of these actions to reduce supply chain disruption may not be received very well by China itself. China has bought key infrastructure around the world: power generation, ports, water supply, rail networks and more. All of which means that they get a greater say in how the world’s supply chain works. Xi Jingping has been straight forward in saying that he wants the world to rely on China more, and China to rely on the rest of the world less. Decoupling from Chinese supply chain disruption has taken on even more importance with the rise of Chinese secondary sanctions. More on nearshoring to avoid Chinese supply chain disruptions here: China’s economic woes: An opportunity for U.S. manufacturing? 

    China

    Scientists believed Covid leaked from Wuhan lab – but feared debate could hurt ‘international harmony’An email from Dr Ron Fouchier to Sir Jeremy said: “Further debate about such accusations would unnecessarily distract top researchers from their active duties and do unnecessary harm to science in general and science in China in particular.” Dr Collins, former director of the NIH, replied to Sir Jeremy stating: “I share your view that a swift convening of experts in a confidence-inspiring framework is needed or the voices of conspiracy will quickly dominate, doing great potential harm to science and international harmony.” Institutions which held the emails have repeatedly resisted efforts to publish their content. The University of Edinburgh recently turned down an Freedom of Information request from The Telegraph asking to see Prof Rambaut’s replies, claiming “disclosure would be likely to endanger the physical or mental health and safety of individuals”. – this is going to turn into a dumpster fire

    Beijing’s South China Sea claims ‘gravely undermine’ rule of law | Al Jazeera 

    Half of international students did not feel completely ready for courses – poll | Evening Standard – Nearly three in four (72%) international applicants wanted more information about what their year would look like.- and this is probably deliberate by the institutions

    Dutch university gives up Chinese funding due to impartiality concerns | Netherlands | The GuardianAmsterdam’s Vrije Universiteit (VU), the fourth largest university in the Netherlands, has said it will accept no further money from the Southwest University of Political Science and Law in Chongqing and repay sums it recently received. The announcement came after an investigation by the Dutch public broadcaster NOS last week revealed VU’s Cross Cultural Human Rights Center (CCHRC) had received between €250,000 (£210,000) and €300,000 annually from Southwest over the past few years. According to NOS, the CCHRC used Southwest’s money to fund a regular newsletter, organise seminars and maintain its website – which has published several posts rejecting western criticism of China’s human rights policy

    Economics

    Buy Things, Not Experiences — harold lee – long term benefit

    Did macroeconomics fail us on inflation? – by Noah Smith 

    Ethics

    The soft bigotry of America’s cultural left | Financial Times 

    Why is it still considered OK to be ageist? | Financial TimesA study by academics at Yale found that people with a negative approach to ageing deal with it worse mentally and physically and die seven and a half years younger. To put this in context, mild obesity shortens life by three years, extreme obesity by 10. Hardly surprisingly, this has prompted a great deal of fuss at government level. Policymakers and health professionals obsess over obesity. But what about the damage done by poor attitudes to ageing? Until I read about the survey I had no idea it was even a thing: the fact that ageism can actually kill you is a well-kept secret. It is also a costly one. According to the WHO report, the resulting ill health places an additional annual burden on the US healthcare of $63bn. I realise that health policymakers have been busy since the report came out last March, but still there hasn’t been a peep out of them

    FMCG

    Short sellers tuck into Beyond Meat | Financial Times 

    Spilling the Beans on Political Consumerism: Do Social Media Boycotts and Buycotts Translate to Real Sales Impact? by Jura Liaukonyte, Anna Tuchman, Xinrong Zhu :: SSRN – on the contrary, they create a short term sales bump and your customers stick with your brand, so long as you keep your advertising spend up

    Hong Kong

    Xinjiang anti-terror general to lead China’s Hong Kong garrison | Hong Kong | The Guardian – things are going only one way like a ratchet. This especially interesting as the Hong Kong government’s national security apparatus has been making steady progress despite high profile government failures in other areas such as COVID social distancing that further undermined trust with citizenry, more here Hong Kong leader Carrie Lam vows to bring in new security laws | The Guardian 

    The Big Pigture: Life Lessons from the World of Mcdull | Sotheby’s – interesting that Sotheby’s is auctioning off McDull artwork.

    Hong Kong democracy activist Edward Leung released from prison | Reuters – Edward Leung was involved in the ‘fishball revolution’ where police took action against food stalls, he was the person that made ‘Liberate Hong Kong, revolution of our time’ popular as a slogan

    Britain’s newest immigrants are showing a flair for protest | The Economist 

    Innovation

    Why is the Nuclear Power Industry Stagnant? – Austin Vernon’s Blog – interesting discussion on the economics and need for innovation

    America needs more basic research – by Noah Smith 

    I love this 60 Minutes Australia film about an Australian inventor

    Equations built giants like Google. Who’ll find the next billion-dollar bit of maths? | David Sumpter | The GuardianThe PageRank story is neither the first nor the most recent example of a little-known piece of mathematics transforming tech. In 2015, three engineers used the idea of gradient descent, dating back to the French mathematician Augustin-Louis Cauchy in the mid-19th century, to increase the time viewers spent watching YouTube by 2,000%. Their equation transformed the service from a place we went to for a few funny clips to a major consumer of our viewing time.

    Japan

    ‘Society was volatile. That spirit was in our music’: how Japan created its own jazz | Jazz | The Guardian

    Murata’s Thailand move heralds Japan tech shift from China | Financial Times“The most populous country today may be China, but in 2030 that will be India, and further down the road it will be Africa,” Nakajima said. “Will those economies be aligned with China or the US? We don’t know. We should be able to respond to both scenarios.”

    Hong Kong: how colonial-era laws are being used to shut down independent journalismpolice recently told reporters that opinion articles aren’t the only ones that can be regarded as seditious. Media interviews with exiled activists and features on clashes between protesters and riot police can also be considered seditious if the content is deemed by the government to be “fake news” or inciting hatred towards the government and endangering national security

    Hong Kong independence activist Edward Leung released from jail, told to stay silent — Radio Free AsiaHong Kong barrister and former lawmaker Siu Tsz-man said supervision orders are sometimes issued to released prisoners involved in violent crimes, including murder and manslaughter, and require the former prisoner to maintain contact with supervision officers and remain at a stable residence. But Siu said the order to stay away from the spotlight was unprecedented. “I have never heard of this happening before,” Siu said. “My staff have never heard of a supervision order under which the person isn’t allowed to give interviews to the media.” Siu declined to comment on whether the order was appropriate without knowing the details of the case. “The point of a supervision order isn’t to confine someone at a certain location and not let them leave,” he said. Some drew parallels between Leung’s release and the continuing controls on released political prisoners in mainland China – similar in nature to an ASBO but inherently political in nature

    Korea

    Young Koreans Lose Interest in Chinese Studies | Chosun – this Korean example shows a wider decline in Chinese soft power

    Media

    ‘Industry Challenges’ Blamed For DriveTribe’s Demise 

    Brand collaborations with TikTok content creators drive big results | TikTok For Business Blog – social media platform claims that marketing on their social media platform delivers business results, honest….

    Facebook’s Vast Wasteland 

    Retailing

    Gen Z and Millennial Shoppers Are Less Likely to Return Unwanted Online Purchases

    Shein adds US listing plans to its cart – that the founder is looking to change citizenship is very interesting and I am sure won’t go down well with the Chinese government

    Security

    Chinese Police Hunt Overseas Critics With Advanced Tech – The New York Times

    Virginia burglaries work of ‘crime tourists,’ authorities say – The Washington Post  – Authorities call them “crime tourists.” Law enforcement experts say cells of professional South American burglars, particularly from Colombia and Chile, are entering the country illegally or exploiting a visa waiver program meant to expedite tourism from dozens of trusted foreign countries. Once here, they travel from state to state carrying out scores of burglaries, jewelry heists and other crimes, pilfering tens or hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of goods each year, the FBI estimates. Experts said the groups often operate with impunity because they have found a kind of criminal sweet spot. Bail for nonviolent property offenses is often low, so an arrested burglar often quickly gets bond and skips town for the next job, experts said. The crimes often don’t meet the threshold for the involvement of federal authorities. And they attract less attention at a time when U.S. authorities are contending with a rise in homicides. Dan Heath, a supervisory special agent with the FBI’s criminal investigations division, said “South American theft groups,” as the agency calls them, are a growing problem across the United States — and in countries including India, Britain and Australia, where they often employ similar tactics. “They represent an enormous threat right now in our country,” Heath said. “They are tending to thread the needle in avoiding both state and federal prosecution.”

    Hacker Claims to Have Seized Control of Teslas Around the World

    Dutch athletes warned to keep phones and laptops out of China -media | Reuters

    Team GB athletes offered temporary phones over China spying fears | The Guardian

    Video Appears to Show Drug Cartel Using Drone to Bomb Enemies | Futurism

    FedEx Asks Permission to Install Anti-Missile Lasers on Its Cargo Jet | Futurism

    Revealed: UK Gov’t Plans Publicity Blitz to Undermine Chat Privacy – Rolling Stone and more here: The United Kingdom authorities launch a new campaign against the social media apps encryption / Digital Information World 

    WhatsApp ordered to help out U.S agencies to spy on Chinese phones / Digital Information World – tracking metadata, US agencies looking to carry out supply chain disruption of fentanyl

    VW fired senior employee after they raised cyber security concerns | Financial TimesA senior Volkswagen employee was dismissed weeks after raising the alarm about alleged cyber security vulnerabilities at the carmakers’ payments arm, which is soon to be majority-owned by JPMorgan. The manager alerted bosses in September 2021 to concerns that VW’s system in the region was “open to fraud” following an attempted cyber attack, and maintained that $2.6m sitting in the company’s accounts could be stolen, according to documents seen by the Financial Times. The staff member, who also told superiors that VW could face regulatory action if the vulnerabilities were not addressed, was then fired in October. – not terribly surprising

    Software

    After ruining Android messaging, Google says iMessage is too powerful | Ars Technica“Google clearly views iMessage’s popularity as a problem, and the company is hoping this public-shaming campaign will get Apple to change its mind on RCS,” writes Amadeo in closing. “But Google giving other companies advice on a messaging strategy is a laughable idea since Google probably has the least credibility of any tech company when it comes to messaging services. If the company really wants to do something about iMessage, it should try competing with it.” – if this wasn’t an admission of failure by Google I don’t know what is. Google has a history of failed or closed communication services Google Talk (GTalk) (which was retired when Google decided to move away from an open messaging standard , Google Hangouts (which was spun out of Google+ messaging functionality), Google Allo and Google Wave

    Once billed as a revolution, IBM’s Watson Health is sold off in parts 

    Taiwan

    Christine Lee and Foreign Interference: what the UK can learn from Taiwan | China DialoguesAs part of the transition from authoritarianism to democracy, Taiwan retooled its political commissar system (zheng wei 政委) – formerly responsible for policing political loyalty toward the regime – into an institution that safeguards democracy by working to identify Chinese influence at all levels of Taiwanese politics and society. Political commissars (PCs) not only receive extensive military training but also develop a deep understanding of the Chinese Communist Party’s political warfare tactics. Most major government departments and private sector organisations in Taiwan will have PCs operating within their ranks, monitoring and reporting evidence of foreign interference. As many democracies facing Chinese influence and interference do not have such well-established systems in place, Taiwan’s zheng wei system may provide a starting point for how anti-foreign influence institutions can work effectively within democratic societies

    Technology

    EETimes – Arm Predicts Stagnation if Nvidia Deal Failswithout investment from Nvidia, Arm would be seriously disadvantaged in its bid to grow in data center markets and compete against Intel Corp. and x86 incumbents. The filing also explains why an Arm stock offering is a non-starter while noting that Arm faces stiff competition from emerging RISC-V competitors – interesting that they don’t mention ARM China crisis at all. Nvidia have now walked away from it and Softbank is supposed to be preparing a public offering for ARM

    Web of no web

    How Shopify is moving closer to bricks-and-mortar retail – Latest Retail Technology News From Across The Globe – Charged – retail shop automation software a la China’s automated convenience stores

    Connected Health Station | Body Scan – Withings