Ideas were at the at the heart of why I started this blog. One of the first posts that I wrote there being a sweet spot in the complexity of products based on the ideas of Dan Greer. I wrote about the first online election fought by Howard Dean, which now looks like a precursor to the Obama and Trump presidential bids.
I articulated a belief I still have in the benefits of USB thumb drives as the Thumb Drive Gospel. The odd rant about IT, a reflection on the power of loose social networks, thoughts on internet freedom – an idea that that I have come back to touch on numerous times over the years as the online environment has changed.
Many of the ideas that I discussed came from books like Kim and Mauborgne’s Blue Ocean Strategy.
I was able to provide an insider perspective on Brad Garlinghouse’s infamous Peanut Butter-gate debacle. It says a lot about the lack of leadership that Garlinghouse didn’t get fired for what was a power play. Garlinghouse has gone on to become CEO of Ripple.
I built on initial thoughts by Stephen Davies on the intersection between online and public relations with a particular focus on definition to try and come up with unifying ideas.
Or why thought leadership is a less useful idea than demonstrating authority of a particular subject.
I touched on various retailing ideas including the massive expansion in private label products with grades of ‘premiumness’.
I’ve also spent a good deal of time thinking about the role of technology to separate us from the hoi polloi. But this was about active choice rather than an algorithmic filter bubble.
I have noticed a lot of b-roll from Japan on YouTube. This seems to have expanded to a wider category of Asian archive footage.
Here’s some footage of the 1970s and 1980s in Japan. This is interesting because it doesn’t seem to be broadcast quality footage and at least some of it was shot by an amateur cameraman.
My latest Asian archive footage discovery was footage from Taiwan. Taiwan was a wider economic powerhouse before the opening up of China. This footage was shot during the 1980s and 1990s. The first thing that struck me the influence on Taiwanese modern culture of Japan (like baseball). But the traditional Chinese culture is still better preserved than anywhere on the mainland and probably even more so than Hong Kong and Singapore.
Russian economics
Perun was a gaming channel that pivoted into making thoughtful analysis videos on different aspects of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This video covers the economic impact. TL;DR – war creates a huge amount of economic value destruction. It is well worth a watch as Perun does some great analysis.
Shortcut to scratching
I wish I had this video 30 years ago. DJ Shortcut of The Invisibl Skratch Piklz and World Famous Beat Junkies breaks down scratching techniques.
Chinese invasion of Taiwan
Chris Cappy provides an interesting perspective on the PLA and a likely Taiwan invasion. But that doesn’t mean that they couldn’t do a blockade or Pearl Harbour style strikes to isolate Taiwan. Secondly, like Saddam Hussein before them the non-military Chinese leadership may not fully realise their own limitations. China has been known to throw its military into conflicts that they weren’t ready for, or capable of. The example that immediately comes to mind is the shambolic border conflict with Vietnam.
NASA’s administrator says cost-plus is a “plague,” just as DoD is giving up on fixed-price development | Acquisition Talk – this reminds me so much of the UK’s ministry of defence. My Dad moved over to the UK to work on the Resolution class of submarines that were designed to carry the Polaris nuclear missile. At the time the Royal Navy paid for these submarines on a cost plus basis which meant that the shipyard advertised for tradesmen in newspapers in Ireland and across the Commonwealth. A lot of people spent a lot of time drinking tea and claiming overtime. One can understand why cost plus could be seen as a plague.
However bad cost plus is, fixed cost doesn’t seem to work either with failed projects and strong disincentives to try innovative solutions. Where NASA is at the moment I can understand why fixed price makes more sense than cost plus. But high innovation programmes like Ares or the Apollo programme would do better under cost plus. One of the current best arguments for cost plus is the likelihood that the Ajax armoured vehicle will never be issued. It is a ‘firm priced’ meaning fixed price contract. Crossrail looks more like a cost plus project, it was a mess, it cost way too much, but it runs. I wonder if the UK ministry of defence will ever consider cost plus again?
Opinion | Boris Johnson Is in Trouble, and So Is Britain’s Conservative Party – The New York Times – First through austerity, then through Brexit and Mr. Johnson, the Conservatives have left Britain in the ruins of their ambition. Each one of their proposed solutions, offered in the name of national renewal, has made the situation worse. No one in the party can escape blame for this baleful legacy. One of the pretenders to Mr. Johnson’s throne — Rishi Sunak, Liz Truss or Jeremy Hunt — may offer a change in style. But a substantial change of course is unlikely to come. An economy predicated on low productivity and low investment, buttressed by a self-defeating lack of seriousness about Britain’s condition, is all the Conservatives seem to be able to offer.– Worthwhile reading in association with this: Grim times lie ahead for UK as inflation combines with low growth | Financial Times
Russian emails appear to show ‘network’ holding $4.5bn assets linked to Putin | Russia | The Guardian – An anti-corruption expert in Russia, who requested anonymity given the political situation in Moscow, said the findings raised questions as to whether there was a level of “common management”. “LLCInvest looks most of all like a cooperative, or an association, in which its members can exchange benefits and property,” they suggested. For nearly two decades, Putin has been accused of secretly accumulating vast wealth through proxies, fuelled by a series of disclosures in leaks such as the Pandora papers about the fortunes of those closest to him. Sergey Kolesnikov, a businessman, claimed 10 years ago that he had been behind a scheme that allowed a group of Russia’s top oligarchs to pool billions of rubles into a type of “investment fund” for the benefit of Putin, who was then serving as prime minister. The claims were denied and Kolesnikov fled from Russia. – Interesting how this has been set up
It’s time for data-first diversity, equity, and inclusion | Fortune – In 2010, using nationally representative data on thousands of individuals in their 40s, I estimated that Black men earn 39.4% less than white men and Black women earn 13.1% less than white women. Yet, accounting for one variable–educational achievement in their teenage years––reduced that difference to 10.9% (a 72% reduction) for men and revealed that Black women earn 12.7 percent more than white women, on average. Derek Neal, an economist at the University of Chicago, and William Johnson were among the first to make this point in 1996: “While our results do provide some evidence for current labor market discrimination, skills gaps play such a large role that we believe future research should focus on the obstacles Black children face in acquiring productive skill.”
Incoming Hong Kong leader John Lee unveils team, while Beijing lays out key expectations | South China Morning Post – John Lee pledges to win people’s trust and make policies that meet demands as State Council approves his governing team. Hong Kong and Macau Affairs Office lays out five expectations for incoming administration, including tackling housing and addressing wealth gap – this explains the big gaps in Lee’s previous policy document. What’s less apparent is how Lee will deliver on these intractable challenges when every previous chief executive haven’t managed to address them
Edelman Launches Global Gen Z Lab | Edelman – Today, Edelman announces the formation of The Gen Z Lab, a global offering comprising 100 Gen Z employees, a roster of internal and external on-call advisors, and data hub dedicated to generational insights. Under the watch of Edelman’s Global Chief Brand Officer, Jackie Cooper, the Gen Z Lab will lend expertise, perspective and counsel clients looking to effectively engage the Gen Z consumer. In a breakthrough move, Edelman is also appointing the world’s first ZEO as a cultural and creative advisor for the Gen Z Lab. Stepping into this inaugural consultative role from July 1st, will be gender fluid fashion designer, Harris Reed. He will be supported by Amanda Edelman as Gen Z COO. The Gen Z Lab will harness their generation’s perspective and ambitions to solve issues such as race and diversity, sustainability, and climate change, and align with brand interests to become catalysts for change. – I’d totally trust them managing my brand reputation…………….. NOT!
Meta’s new digital fashion marketplace will sell Prada, Balenciaga and Thom Browne | Vogue Business – Balenciaga CEO Cédric Charbit in a release. “Web3 and Meta are bringing unprecedented opportunities for Balenciaga, our audience and our products, opening up new territories for luxury.” Balenciaga, along with Prada and Thom Browne, is among the first to sign on to sell digital fashion in a new Meta-created avatar store where people can buy clothing for their avatars to wear on Instagram, Facebook and Messenger. Eventually, other designers will be able to independently offer digital clothing for sale in the marketplace. The items for sale in the avatar store will range from $2.99 to $8.99 to start. A Meta spokesperson said that it did “not have details to share” on if or how it would share revenue with designers. Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg and Instagram VP of fashion partnerships Eva Chen, who announced the updates via Instagram Live on Friday, said these capabilities will be available next week, starting with the US, Canada, Thailand and Mexico. – Worthwhile reading this piece also: Inside The Metaverse Strategies Of L’Oréal And LVMH | The Drum
What Chinese media reveals about Shein’s secretive operations – Rest of World – There are two main kinds of suppliers: “free on board,” those that make simple designs they haven’t devised themselves, and “original design manufacturers,” those that do both. They all feed into Shein’s sprawling manufacturing execution system (MES). The designer-suppliers will find pictures online and send a selection to Shein’s internal buyers for consideration; the buyer and their manager settle on a final pool. Once samples have been received, there might be two, or even three, rounds of changes before manufacturing can commence. (The entire time, everything needs to be recorded in the MES — materials, pricing, even chat logs — something suppliers balk at, because, if the deal falls through, all the information sits in Shein’s records, and there’s nothing to stop them from producing it elsewhere.) – I could see Amazon acting in a similar way
China’s Expanding Surveillance State: Takeaways From a NYT Investigation – The New York Times – DNA, iris scan samples and voice prints are being collected indiscriminately from people with no connection to crime. The police in China are starting to collect voice prints using sound recorders attached to their facial recognition cameras. In the southeast city of Zhongshan, the police wrote in a bidding document that they wanted devices that could record audio from at least a 300-foot radius around cameras. Software would then analyze the voice prints and add them to a database. Police boasted that when combined with facial analysis, they could help pinpoint suspects faster. In the name of tracking criminals — which are often loosely defined by Chinese authorities and can include political dissidents — the Chinese police are purchasing equipment to build large-scale iris-scan and DNA databases. The first regionwide iris database — which has the capacity to hold iris samples of up to 30 million people — was built around 2017 in Xinjiang, home to the Uyghur ethnic minority. Online news reports show that the same contractor later won other government contracts to build large databases across the country. The company did not respond to The Times’s request for comment. The Chinese police are also widely collecting DNA samples from men. Because the Y chromosome is passed down with few mutations, when the police have the y-DNA profile of one man, they also have that of a few generations along the paternal lines in his family. Experts said that while many other countries use this trait to aid criminal investigations, China’s approach stands out with its singular focus on collecting as many samples as possible. – and more here: Police in China Stalk Citizens With Surveillance That Predicts Future Crime
This post on dead tools came along due to two incidents. The first incident was cleaning out dead links of online tools on my social bookmarking account. (A social bookmarking account is a searchable online storage of links that would otherwise be favourites in your browser. This allows the links to be catergorised and become searchable. Creating an index of useful and trusted links.) The second incident was going through the verification resources created by American investigative journalist Craig Silverman.
Before 2010, I worked on very digital focused projects and used a battery of free online tools. In 2010, I started using Sysomos MAP, a paid for social media monitoring tool. Since then I have seen a steady decline in tools with many becoming dead tools.
Too big to care
In terms of dead tools – Google exemplifies the ‘too big to care’ category of dead tools. I documented the closure of 30 Google services that were useful in a post back in 2014. The one that probably has the biggest effect on online society was the demise of Google Reader. Google Reader would have made online media bubbles harder to fall into than they are now with social media. Google Now – the product that was considered the spiritual successor to Google Reader was the model for how to build a media bubble around the consumer – it used algorithms to give you more of the news that you liked over time and this goes beyond relevance which tools like Newsblur focused on in their training function. In 2006, O’Reilly had published a book called Google Hacks that documented useful things that you could do with Google services. The book is now largely of historical interest.
Since I wrote the Google services post, the company downgraded and made its search keyword planner and display advertising planning tools less useful, to the point of being useless. Google’s search function has become less useful and consumers have noticed. Google Search no longer allows Boolean operators. For instance
would have been able to use as a search previously and is no longer be allowed as a search. The Atlantic went as far as asking is Google dying? Earlier on in the year there was a similar discussion on Hacker News and Reddit among technologists.
Much of this comes down to the law of large numbers, Google only cares about really big niches. So Boolean operators have come out so Google doesn’t have to maintain them. Instead Google has been focusing on things like which is nearest coffee shop to your smartphone that it can provide as a recommendation. Google has pivoted from organising the world’s information to becoming a user’s life OS.
Open web to closed web
When I started using these tools the web had become a web of data. Platforms were generous with APIs and platforms like Flickr had allowed an ecosystem of useful tools to be developed on top of their APIs. Social networks offered more limited APIs which have closed up over time. This is the reason why the number of third party twitter clients have become severely diminished. From a research perspective, this also means that tools lost their data sources, which led them to become dead tools. This is why social media monitoring became all about Twitter, data sources from Instagram and TikTok are much more limited – for instance Instagram allows only single word or hashtag search.
Tools like software programmes often disappear when the people who have created them are no longer able to maintain them. Often these tools will have been developed by a single person to deal with a problem that they had run into ‘scratching an itch’. Life throws up other challenges and interests. It is remarkable that I have relied on some services for over two decades, which is a lifetime ago for the current generation of programmers who think that Tumblr is a distant memory.
Tools aren’t dead yet, but we have passed a golden age in the useful web for now. Hopefully new tools will arise over time to replace the dead tools we’ve lost.
The BBC had Darren McGarvey on, reading is own book The Social Distance Between Us. Something is added to the content through McGarvey’s own voice reciting his own book adapted for the ‘book of the week’ slot. His Glaswegian accent and experience recording Scottish tinged rap helps in his delivery. Darren McGarvey is better known in music circles as Loki and his two albums published in the 2010s before he became an author and fronted documentaries (like working-class Londoner Professor Green). This is McGarvey’s second book after Poverty Safari, which was released in 2018. Both of the books deal with the realities for the British working class.
Revlon files for bankruptcy – CNN – one would normally expect a brand like Revlon to be resilient in a recession for being an affordable luxury a la Esteé Lauder. Ron Perelman overburdened Revlon with too much debt and its impressive that it lasted this long
China
Chinese courts flex intellectual property muscle across borders | Financial Times – Chinese courts have issued four key cross-border “anti-suit injunctions” following claims made by the country’s massive telecom equipment and smartphone groups — Huawei, Xiaomi, ZTE and Oppo — in disputes against Germany’s Conversant, US group InterDigital, and Japan’s Sharp. These rulings have essentially sought to block non-Chinese companies from enforcing IP rights in other jurisdictions, meaning Chinese companies cannot be sued for alleged infringements.They are enforced via daily penalties on a foreign company’s local operations in China, if that company insists on pursuing a case. According to Rieko Michishita, a veteran China IP lawyer at Bird & Bird, the rapidly mounting penalties make the injunctions akin to “taking a hostage”. And the cases are an indication, she warns, of how Chinese companies and courts will become more confident in deploying such legal manoeuvres as the country’s technological prowess steams ahead
Fears of data abuse as Chinese health code turns red for financial scandal protesters | South China Morning Post – Victims of what could be one of China’s largest financial scandals found themselves unable to step outside to join planned protests because their health QR codes had turned red, reigniting fears that the large-scale data collected for contact tracing would be abused for other uses. Since late May, hundreds of people have taken to the streets in China’s central Henan province, calling for authorities to ensure the return of their deposits that were frozen in four rural banks in the province.
Redefine Meat are a brand that is competing in the meat alternative space from Beyond Meat to Quorn. Redefine Meat is plant based and has support of chef Marco Pierre White. The premise of the ad addresses a thorny question in a humorous way. What happens to the herds of livestock who would be no longer needed, if the world became a vegan utopia? Their solution is the cow repurposing institute – a job training centre for cattle. Of course, the likely solution will be much less vegan friendly.
The trailing edge chip shortage
Asianometry goes into the shortage of trailing edge process manufactured processors. These produce chips with a low cost per unit as the capital costs of the chips were covered years ago. Older foundries are running at very high utilisation rates. There is a problem trying to get hold of older equipment. Interesting point mentioned that MEMS are in particular demand due to the Ukraine invasion.
Skinner on Machiavelli
Niccolò di Bernardo dei Machiavelli is so well known his family name became a noun and and adjective to describe someone who was cunning. The Prince – his book on governance is cited by far more people than have actually read it. I liked this talk by historian Quentin Skinner on the man and his work. Skinner is from the Cambridge school of historians that seeks to contextualise the environment of historical figures (and so better understand their actions).
McDonalds goes ambient
This seems to be an ad that was commissioned for a Spanish speaking market, but I suspect that it might be a student piece of work. The craft is stunning. Given that McDonalds has worked hard to point out that its food is made from ‘real’ ingredients, this ad might be counterproductive – hence the reason why I think it might be a student project. It promotes McDonald’s range of McMuffin breakfast sandwiches.
