Category: ideas | 想法 | 생각 | 考える

Ideas were at the at the heart of why I started this blog. One of the first posts that I wrote there being a sweet spot in the complexity of products based on the ideas of Dan Greer. I wrote about the first online election fought by Howard Dean, which now looks like a precursor to the Obama and Trump presidential bids.

I articulated a belief I still have in the benefits of USB thumb drives as the Thumb Drive Gospel. The odd rant about IT, a reflection on the power of loose social networks, thoughts on internet freedom – an idea that that I have come back to touch on numerous times over the years as the online environment has changed.

Many of the ideas that I discussed came from books like Kim and Mauborgne’s Blue Ocean Strategy.

I was able to provide an insider perspective on Brad Garlinghouse’s infamous Peanut Butter-gate debacle. It says a lot about the lack of leadership that Garlinghouse didn’t get fired for what was a power play. Garlinghouse has gone on to become CEO of Ripple.

I built on initial thoughts by Stephen Davies on the intersection between online and public relations with a particular focus on definition to try and come up with unifying ideas.

Or why thought leadership is a less useful idea than demonstrating authority of a particular subject.

I touched on various retailing ideas including the massive expansion in private label products with grades of ‘premiumness’.

I’ve also spent a good deal of time thinking about the role of technology to separate us from the hoi polloi. But this was about active choice rather than an algorithmic filter bubble.

 

  • Content in the online realm

    The nature of content in the online realm

    To think about content in the online realm it makes sense to go back to 1964.

    Internet history

    In 1964, the idea of being online and exposed to hypermedia was the stuff of information theory papers and the fevered dreams of researchers on government projects trying to build working packet networks.

    The medium is the message

    Canadian philosopher Marshall McLuhan published his book Understanding Media[1] introduced a concept in the title of the first chapter of his book, that would become common cultural currency. This was that ‘The medium is the message’. The expression neatly captures the idea that the communication being used— email, podcast, social media post, documentary film, white paper etc.—will affect how the message is perceived. Even, if the same message is communicated with different media. That is why an article printed on the salmon pink paper of the FT seems to carry more weight literally and figuratively than content in the online realm.

    ‘The medium is the message’ is often used in the context of media considered influential on society, including forms of media that are thought to have changed how people experience the world. An area that online communication fit neatly into, just in the same way that television and video cassettes would have in the 1980s, as illustrated by this scene from the movie Back to The Future.  

    When we think of content, particularly in the online realm, the medium itself helps dictate our thinking. From a marketers perspective, at least in theory, every action in the online realm is trackable. So marketers think that they can use content in the online realm to take the audience through a curated journey to adoption and beyond.

    The marketer will have mapped out paths that customers will receive content on like a hunter baiting a trap. The idea clearly meshes with concepts like the sales funnel. Marketers would be able to track the audience through a journey and prompt them to take the next step through emails and advertising retargeting.

    This cajoling might be triggered on customer responses through the power of artificial intelligence, that dynamically adapts to each customer, or a sales rep in a follow-up to conversation. This is would be considered to be part of the marketing function’s digital transformation. 

    Digital transformation

    If you are reading this article, chances are you’ve read about digital transformation, seen internal presentations, listened to podcasts, been to the webinars and possibly in person conferences about the subject area.

    Digital transformation typically offers an efficient technology-centred approach, but consider for a moment if it’s a consumer-centred way? 

    Which begs the question: As marketers and creators, what should we be doing for the estimated 95% of the time when the audience isn’t in a frame of mind to move towards adoption? 

    The sales funnel

    The sales funnel is one of the most enduring ideas in sales and marketing. A recent article by strategist Tom Roach described it as ‘the cockroach of marketing concepts’[2]. It appears in various designs in the smart art function of Microsoft® PowerPoint® – such is its importance in the business world. The importance of the sales funnel is recognised by Mark Ritson, who believes in their use to marshal the thoughts of marketers in terms of periodisation, rather than its literal application[3].

    In his article Roach makes the point that the sales funnel started out as the AIDA model. AIDA (Attention, Interest, Desire, Action) in turn came out of door-to-door personal selling in the late 19th century. It was a way to teach sales people how to navigate buyers to make a purchase in a single conversation on their doorstep. 

    The book Bond Salesmanship[4] in 1924 used a ‘funnel’ metaphor with the AIDA model to encourage a consumer to make a purchase. 

    One interesting aside by Roach was Bond Salesmanship was about facts being ‘forced down’ the funnel rather than people. The generally accepted use now is to convey customers through, stage by stage. All of which is completely divorced from its original use in a personalised single session. 

    When I had been in college the sales funnel was only mentioned in passing in foundational modules on consumer behaviour. The lecturer used it as way of conceptualising how marketing worked as a visual accompaniment to the AIDA model rather than being used in a literal sense. At the time, my lecturer felt that consumers were too post modern in nature to apply it.

    The popularity of the funnel seems to have grown again with the rise of advertising technology and marketing automation platforms. Historically enterprise technology companies have relied on personal selling to their business customers. This may have had something to do with the model’s adoption and application in a multi-session customer journey by adtech development teams as their ‘model’. 

    A model is handy as a mental framework to simplify the understanding of a concept, but it often falls down in a real-world environment. The sales funnel is no exception: 

    • The perfect customer fallacy. Customers will remember what you’ve told them in the previous stages, in the order that you told it to them. This point is a complete fiction, people often don’t remember what they’ve been told. Which is why a lot of work has been put into consumer memory encoding and revival as a subject area. It is why reach and frequency are important aspects of any paid media plan[5].
    • As designed, the sales funnel has no concept of memory. Is this a product that you’ve bought before? What was your experience like? Are you happy to use it again? Do you actively seek it out as a product that you want to use? 

    The reason for both of these limitations is that the sales funnel was originally developed for single session selling opportunities, not the kind of relationship that brands typically have with stakeholders today. 

    McKinsey came up with a circular journey that had been called the loyalty loop to allow for customer memory.[6]

    McKinsey loyalty loop
    McKinsey

    James Hankins of Vizer Consulting came up with a conceptual model[7] that better addresses the perfect customer fallacy. Hankins model also implies the role of brand building as well as brand activating content in the customer buying process. 

    Hankins' conceptual model
    James Hankins

    What does all this have to do with content in the online realm?

    We know that we have a desired journey for content, that is often designed around the sales funnel. But we also need to build content around that. If the consumer journey is storytelling, then the content around it is more akin to world-building. 

    This has been called content continuity by others.[8] Content continuity supports the web of interactions that aren’t a purchase in the James Hankins model. 

    The storytelling provides our core content, the content continuity builds around that. Content continuity provides supporting information. 

    How do we think about content in the online realm in order to create content continuity? The key to thinking about this content is to think about it in two dimensions. The first dimension is around content themes. What are the content themes that the content journey relies on and what is the content areas that are tangential to these areas? This will vary based on the product, service or campaign. 

    The second thing to consider is how this content affects the audience in terms of exposure to the brand, exploration, evaluation and experience. With this in mind consider how your content themes fit into the following six areas that impact exposure, exploration, evaluation and experience. Are there any obvious gaps that need to be plugged? 

    20210922 - content in the online realm
    The author’s own creation

    If you are marketing to a well-understood category with a well-understood idea of what is good, that your product or service fits into then you probably not need to consider market shaping or market attitudes. Otherwise, it makes sense to see how the content themes cover: market authority, market shaping, marketing attitudes, product awareness, product relevant and product proposition / support. 

    Tonality

    The tone of content needs to be appropriate to the job that needs to be done. Safety instructions or a list of allergens in the product could do without a touch of levity. However, in other areas it is worthwhile thinking about how emotion could be used appropriately. Research shows that emotional priming content aids long term sales uplift.[5]

    Remix, re-edit and reuse

    Once you’ve created great content, the next thing to think about is how it can be put to the best use with necessary tweaks, expansions or modifications. A webinar can be turned into video on demand content. A presentation script can be turned into an opinion piece or white paper. 

    Think about how it connects with other content. This means connecting content together and treating your digital presence as an ‘embassy’.[9] This embassy approach facilitates audience exploration and evaluation. 

    Ignoring the digital dictatorship of the marketing automation black box

    All of the processes that we’ve outlined take a human-centred approach, this means that they may not fit in with the algorithmic driven ‘black box’ approach beloved of marketing automation platforms. This means doing content for the right reasons, not just for the right numbers. It takes bravery to ignore the hectoring and dictatorial nature of the ‘black box’, but who should your organisation put its faith in, its marketing staff or a ‘one-size fits all’ algorithm? I would argue that data and metrics should inform, but not dictate an approach. 

    You can find similar content to this essay here.


    [1] McLuhan, M. (1964). Understanding Media: The Extensions of Man. Kiribati: New American Library.

    [2] Roach, T (September 11, 2021) Why the sales funnel is the cockroach of marketing concepts. United Kingdom: Marketing Week

    [3] Ritson, M. (September 18, 2020) ‘Funnel juggling’ is the answer to marketing effectiveness. United Kingdom: Marketing Week

    [4] Townsend, W. W. (1924). Bond Salesmanship. United States: H. Holt.

    [5] Field, P., Binet, L. (2013). The Long and the Short of It: Balancing Short and Long-Term Marketing Strategies. United Kingdom: Institute of Practitioners in Advertising.

    [6] Court, D., Mulder, S., Vetvik, O.J. (June 1, 2009) The consumer decision journey. United States: The McKinsey Quarterly

    [7] Hankins, J. (February 2, 2021) Forget funnels, here’s a new model for the path to purchase. United Kingdom: Marketing Week

    [8] Kuperman, D. (October 8, 2012) The Importance of Content Continuity. United States: The Effective Marketer

    [9] Armano, D. (October 1, 2010) Digital Embassies: A Blueprint for Community Engagement. Germany: FutureLab.

  • Nightmare of The Wolf + other things

    Nightmare of The Wolf

    Netflix are doubling down on The Witcher franchise with their Witcher: Nightmare of The Wolf anime. The approach is very similar to the approach that Netflix took with Altered Carbon. Looking at how well that anime turned out, I have high hopes that Nightmare of the Wolf will live up to the trailer that Netflix has dropped.

    The Witcher: Nightmare of The Wolf

    OpenAI Codex demo

    OpenAI demo-ed the use of AI to code from normal human language a web interface design. It’s a smaller move forward than you would think it is, but it has programmers worried. Secondly, its hard enough to work out what something does if it is coded by a human who doesn’t document as it goes. A machine learning based coder represents an even greater level of opaqueness, which poses challenges for when code would need to be updated. You can learn more about OpenAI Codex here.

    Mercedes Benz 300SL

    The 1950s saw Germany rebuilding after the war and its companies coming back after the war. Before the space race, there was the jet age and there was motor racing. Mercedes Benz looked to make a statement about its position in the motor industry and the way to do that was through motor racing. Stirling Moss driving a Mercedes 300SLR put the company back on the map. Two years later Mercedes released a two door version of Moss’ car to the public called the 300SL. It was light, expensive, exciting and had jet age vibes with its aerodynamic styling and gull wing doors. Something that still looked futuristic almost 30 years later on the DeLorean.

    But the 300SL could also kill the unwary driver due to its rear swing axles. The car could go into sudden oversteer mid-corner if you stabbed the brakes or take the foot off the throttle in the bend. I know this, not because I had driven one, but because I was an avid reader of Car magazine from the mid 1980s to the mid 1990s.

    Car magazine was in a golden age, when motor journalism was as much literature as product information. Journalists wrote up to the intellect that they wanted their readers to have rather than writing to a lowest common denominator. Something that I have tried to do with this blog over time, but not nearly as well. Back to the killer handling: and the expensive coupe.

    Mercedes replaced the gull wing coupe with a roadster body shape and took the opportunity to change the handling.

    Tyler Hoover of Hoovies Garage had a chance to drive one of the roaders.

    Tyler Cowen interview

    I have been following Tyler Cowen’s economics blog Marginal Revolution for years and posted links to it here. Ashish Kulkarni interviewed Cowen about some of his blog posts, the philosophy of economics and the challenges facing universities and their students. Cowen’s day job is a professor at George Mason University in Washington DC.

  • False reviews + other news

    False reviews

    Amazon Prime
    Fake reviews on products including Amazon Prime items (image via quote catalog

    Shenzhen to support Amazon merchants | Trivium China – 50,000 merchants were banned from Amazon for astroturfing false reviews. The ban was worth up to 100 billion yuan in sales to these merchants. Half of the merchants affected are based in Shenzhen. Now the Chinese government is looking at what it can do to help the merchants practicing false reviews. Yet it wouldn’t tolerate false reviews if it was exposed in in the domestic market. One of the options being looked at is a platform to rival Amazon Marketplace, that would allow fake reviews

    Business

    Private school owners forced to hand institutions over to Chinese state | Financial Times – investors need to view this in the context of other things going on

    Beauty

    UK could allow animal tests for cosmetic ingredients for first time since 1998 | Animal experimentation | The Guardian 

    Social media & covert sales behind Kenya’s skin lightening growth — Quartz Africa – It’s not bleaching, it’s brightening. I personally like using serums because they ‘brighten’ your complexion.

    Consumer behaviour

    Study: Companies Aren’t Living Up To Chinese Consumers’ ExpectationsThree in four (75%) informed Chinese consumers (defined as consumers interested or involved in one of 20 industries studied in the research) said CEOs should speak up on issues that “may not have a significant impact on the business but have a significant impact on society,” with particular focus on diversity and diverse representation within a workforce and its leadership. Yet just 35% of respondents in China feel companies in China can do more to make the workplace better. Similarly, 80% agree that CEOs should have a voice on the environmental policy debate, and three quarters (75%) say business leaders should have a role shaping health policy, the research found. Respondents ranked value and innovation as the top two drivers of brand perceptions in China. Only 35% of companies, however, are meeting expectations in those areas – the key term is ‘informed consumers’, I am sure that the Chinese government might not view things in quite the same way

    How China’s Elderly Built an Internet of Their Own – their network topography is different, the internet augments life for them. Younger people build their life online

    China considers legal changes to curb noise pollution from the country’s notorious dancing grannies | South China Morning Post 

    Culture

    How Chinese factory-workers express their views on life | The Economist

    Design

    The lost tablet and the secret documents | BBC – really nice bit of design on this investigation by the BBC Arabic Service

    UK to launch EV charger design as ‘iconic’ as a telephone box | EE News – so much to unpack here. If you have to call it iconic it probably isn’t

    Economics

    Why software hasn’t done more to improve productivity – Marginal REVOLUTION – well worth a read

    Ethics

    China’s Data Ambitions: Strategy, Emerging Technologies, and Implications for Democracies – The National Bureau of Asian Research (NBR) – TL;DR its really, really bad

    Ideas

    A dog’s inner life: what a robot pet taught me about consciousness | Consciousness | The Guardian – surely the golden rule would apply to way we interact with things like the Aibo. I found story of the couple who abused the Amazon Echo?

    Japan

    Rice, rice baby: Japanese parents send relatives rice to hug in lieu of newborns | Japan | The Guardian – really nice way of getting over the tactile nature of a newborn when the parents can’t visit relatives due to COVID. Also you have the life giving nature of rice in Japanese culture as well

    Legal

    The Hong Kong National Security Law: The Shifted Grundnorm of Hong Kong’s Legal Order and Its Implications by Han Zhu :: SSRNthe application of mainland laws in Hong Kong, the interpretation of the NSL, cross-border criminal jurisdiction, national security institutional infrastructure, and the legal language. To some extent, the enactment of the NSL is like a silent constitutional reform that has reshaped, and will continue to reshape, a wide range of aspects of Hong Kong law as well as the Basic Law. Due to the dualistic nature of the NSL as a national law which applies to both the mainland and Hong Kong, it has also expanded and deepened the interaction and conflict between legal systems in the two regions, highlighting the inherent tension of maintaining the unity of a heterogeneous legal order under one country, two systems

    Marketing

    What happens when brands stop advertising? | Ehrenberg-Bass Institute for Marketing Science

    Influencers want to be paid more than ever. Blame the pandemic | Marketing | Campaign Asia – no one is asking the question in this article, are influencers overpriced, or even worth it compared to other “Industry can also factor in, with some influencer niches starting at a higher price point than others,” says Heather Rottner, director of social media at Coyne PR. For instance, she says the firm generally sees higher rates in high-end fashion and beauty, food and DIY. While there is no shortage of influencers looking for brand partnerships in these categories, “many influencers pride themselves on being selective and authentic which means they don’t jump on every partnership offer they receive or use just any product.”

    Media

    ‘Spreading like a virus’: inside the EU’s struggle to debunk Covid lies | World news | The GuardianUntil the pandemic, there was no monitoring of fake stories originating from within EU countries or linked to countries other than Russia. While China Global Television Network (CGTN), an English-language cable news channel controlled by the Chinese Communist party, is considering a Brussels expansion StratCom until recently had just two people working on Chinese disinformation. Several former EU analysts said multiple state-backed disinformation campaigns, not just Russian, had taken advantage of Covid and Richter believed the EU’s limited focus on Russia “affected the legitimacy of the project.”

    Security

    The threat of a “cyber Pearl Harbor” is a red herring — Quartzthe damage of cyberattacks comes from a series of piecemeal hacks that are often hidden from public view and don’t always lead to immediate, tangible harm. The actual threat looks less like a barrage of bombs and more like a spy slipping a gloved hand into a filing cabinet or a mobster strolling into a shop to collect a “protection” payment

    In first massive cyberattack, China targets Israel – Tech News – Haaretz.com – not surprising given the amount of valuable IP that israel has

    Who is being monitored? Tutanota – interesting data points, I would imagine that other western countries would have a similar split in use of monitoring

    Huawei Accused in Suit of Installing Data ‘Back Door’ in Pakistan Project – WSJ – Another day, another dodgy security story involving Huawei – BES, says in a lawsuit filed Wednesday in California district court that Huawei required it to set up a system in China that gives Huawei access to sensitive information about citizens and government officials from a safe-cities surveillance project in Pakistan’s second-largest city of Lahore. Muhammad Kamran Khan, chief operating officer of the Punjab Safe Cities Authority, which oversees the Lahore project, said the authority has begun looking into BES’s allegations.

    Technology

    Discovery of carbon-based strongest and hardest amorphous material | National Science Review | Oxford Academic – it looks as if they were looking for semiconductor substrate materials

    Open sourcing a more precise time appliance – Facebook Engineering – interesting, previously businesses would have relied on time services like Datum Corporation (now Microchip Technology Inc.) network time appliances

    Imec Spinoff Wants to Turn Every Phone into a Spectrometer – EE Times Europe

    Microbatteries can be energy density | EENews 

    Roll-to-roll printing for flexible silicon electronics | EE News 

    Driverless minibus service rolls out in Hamburg traffic | EE News 

    Web of no web

    Using Reebok’s AR tool, basketball courts can be mapped out anywhere 

    Niantic CEO: The metaverse could be a ‘dystopian nightmare’ 

  • The Coddling of the American Mind

    The Coddling of the American Mind by Greg Lukianoff and Jonathan Haidt. The book sprang out of an article that the authors wrote for The AtlanticHow Trigger Warnings Are Hurting Mental Health on Campus.

    Jonathan Haidt

    Haidt is a social psychologist by training and currently serves as professor of ethical leadership at New York University Stern School of Business. I heard an interview with Haidt on the the dark psychology of social networks and this book came up which was the key reason why I bought it.

    The Coddling of The American Mind

    Greg Lukianoff

    Lukianoff is a lawyer by training and president of Foundation for Individual Rights in Education (FIRE), a US based group that  free speech rights on college campuses. If it was Lukianoff on his own I would likely dismiss this book as partisan.

    Premise of The Coddling of the American Minds

    In The Coddling of the American Mind Haidt and Lukianoff discuss factors that are affecting the resilience of young people emerging from colleges in the US.

    They suggest a number of factors for the increasing intolerance and threats to American life from the left and the right.

    • Intimidation and violence on campus – the book highlights examples on both the left and right of the political spectrum. Violence by left wing protestors at Berkeley was particularly disturbing due to the lack of action by law enforcement
    • Witch hunts against academics
    • Self reinforcing cycle of political polarisation
    • Paranoid parenting compared to the latch-key parenting that older people would have been used to growing up
    • The decline of outdoor play
    • Safetyism – the move of safety culture from improving physical safety promoted by the likes of Ralph Nader (safer workplaces, no lead paint on toys etc) to encompass mental and emotional safety as a priority
    • The quest for justice. The complexity of how you define justice is important

    Haidt and Lukianoff are of the opinion that you need to prepare people for life and to be resilient. That this approach doesn’t detract from the desire to change the world seems to be ignored by advocates of the status quo.

    How the book has been received?

    The Financial Times generally praised the book and it ended up on the New York Times bestsellers list.

    The book was perceived as an attack on progressive liberal values by some reviewers, whereas I think it wasn’t attack on those values, but the means by which they are being pursued. It confronts the hard truth that there is intolerance at both ends of the political spectrum and a lack of dialogue.

    Has campus liberalism gone too far? | Financial Times

    The Idioms of Non-Argument | The Atlantic

    Does Our Cultural Obsession With Safety Spell the Downfall of Democracy? | The New York Times

    Have Parents Made Their Kids Too Fragile For the Rough and Tumble of Life? | Washington Post

  • Audi Skysphere & other things

    Audi Skysphere

    Audi launched its latest concept car the Audi Skysphere. It’s electrically powered as you’d expect. Massive screens for displays and sustainable materials used in the interior. It has autonomous driving when its in a ‘grand touring’ mode. It allows for the owner to drive in a ‘sports car’ mode. All pretty normal stuff so far.

    But sports car mode means that the vehicle length shrinks. That’s right the Audi Skysphere changes shape rather than just changing functions up via electronics.

    In terms of styling, Audi calls calls jazz age Horsh tourers the influence for the Audi Skysphere. Audi is descended from Auto Union AG. Auto Union AG was formed in 1932, with the merger of Horch, DKW, Wanderer and the original Audi Automobilwerke. That’s why the Audi logo has four circles and why Horsh is the influence.

    Its long, wide and low bonnet brings to mind the Dodge Viper. The sides reminded me of Ford’s ‘Edge’ design language, if it was done by Zaha Hadid Architects. Lots of the details such as the lights use a mass of small triangles, reminding me of Hadid’s Zaragoza Bridge Pavilion. It also serves a reminder that computerised shapes are usually made up of lots of small polygons. Triangles must be a thing in car design at the moment, not only does the Audi Skysphere feature them, but so does the new Hyundai Santa Cruz throughout its design.

    Audi talks about the Audi Skysphere in terms of progressive luxury, which seems to be about experience and not making a huge environmental impact. They talk about vegan leather (that could be anything from fungi derived proteins to a PVC style plastic) and microfibre (finely spun and woven (usually) polyester / nylon fibre mix).

    The problems are likely to be in the system that the car would go into.

    • How is insurance handled for an autonomous vehicle?
    • Who is the insured party? Vehicle manufacturers would like for it to be the owner who might be responsible for any autonomous vehicle decisions. Putting software product liability out of their hands and on the buyer.
    • Who would be the defendant in the case of someone being run over?
    • How would vehicle inspection tests like Germany’s TUV or the UK’s MOT handle a collapsable chassis?

    I am a bit disappointed to see that Audi isn’t thinking seriously about a post Lithium world sodium ion batteries or hydrogen powered vehicles

    Los Angeles Olympics 1984

    The Los Angeles Olympics was the last olympic event that made a profit. This was down to the city being able to use existing venues for all the competitions and a less onerous demand on resources than games ran since then.

    Los Angeles didn’t have the reputation for design that Munich or the 1964 games in Tokyo had. So this video by the Olympics gave me new insight into the experience. I remembered the logo and the mascot, but since I watched only a small amount of the LA Games. This was because I was working on the family farm at the time. The bits that I did see were on an old black and white TV, so I missed a lot of the design details shared.

    Home-made silicon foundry

    I’d not heard of Sam Zeloof before. Over the past few years he has managed to fabricate integrated circuits ‘chips’ in his own home. Admittedly when we say home, we are talking about a big American multi-car garage. The results is impressive. One obvious thing to point out is that he is not putting in dust suppression techniques like you would see in a commercial fab.

    Solid Logic Technology

    IBM came up with an interesting ceramic hybrid technology that powered the Apollo missions and IBM’s System 360 computers. They were engineered for a robustness that even silicon micro-processors couldn’t match.