Blog

  • Smartphone value system

    Benedict Evans in his post Unbundling innovation: Samsung, PCs and China compared the value system of smartphone industry to the PC industry where value began to be hollowed out and the market became commoditised.

    Evans claims that this hollowing out of the value system is already happening to Samsung. Part of the challenge is that so much of the design of the hardware layer in phones comes from reference designs by component manufacturers like Qualcomm and reference design work done by manufacturers like Foxconn. Globalisation outsourced hardware design innovation, a plus side of this is that there is a whole eco-system in southern China that can support anyone who wants to make a branded handset building on experience gained working with major technology brands. The downside that there is little room to add to the value system beyond brand marketing.

    As he quite rightly points out some businesses are looking to take control of their business by building beyond hardware and into the service stack to try and move up the value system.

    A number of manufacturers put their own UI over Android like HTC’s Sense UI and Huawei’s Emotion UI. Whilst these contributed to a handset personality, they didn’t provide true value system  differentiation. Facebook even tried to get in on the act with Facebook Home, but the user experience left something to be desired according to reviewers.

    Manufacturers tried to add applications in their phones, which competed with Google’s own application stack. At the present time, no Android manufacturer has come up with a killer application for their brand of phone, mainly because they replicated Google’s efforts and with the exception of Samsung, the application wouldn’t be sufficiently ubiquitous – particularly if it was some sort of communications platform like say Whatsapp.

    Meanwhile, Google hasn’t been sitting quietly on the sidelines but has been using its power within the community to exasperate commoditisation by combatting manufacturers efforts at software customisation. This process has been rolled further into the Android efforts with strict guidance on Android Wear devices. All of this may feel quite similar to Microsoft Windows around about the time of their dispute with Netscape.
    The ultimate budget phone shootout: Xiaomi Redmi vs Huawei Honor 3C vs Motorola G.
    Deeper innovation requires a fork in the Android OS and a break with some if not all of the services. This break has been forced on Chinese manufacturers anyway as consumers wouldn’t be able to access Google’s maps, email or search. Which is the reason why Xiaomi’s MIUI, Jolla’s Sailfish OS and CyanogenMod have an opportunity to work with phone manufacturers.
    Charles' Jolla phone
    However, the ironic aspect of this is that any of these platforms became too successful they would wield as much power as Google does at the moment.

    A sweet spot for hardware manufacturers would be a hetreogenuous OS environment, all of which will run Android-compliant applications. In order for this to work, you would need an equivalent of POSIX compliance for Unix-type operating systems for these mobile OS’ and a way of ensuring that platform innovation didn’t ossify either the OS or the internet services supporting it.

    Where does Apple fit into all this?
    DSCF6958
    Could the HTC One have been built without manufacturers having invested in milling machines after the introduction of the iPhone 5 aluminium monocoque chassis? Apple’s process innovations / popularisation of production techniques opens up opportunities for the wider Android community. This is because of Apple’s focus on materials innovation as well full integration of the services and software stack.

    This lends weight to a viewpoint that Apple has in some respects has become a ‘fashion brand’ as one of my colleagues put it, think a watchmaker rather than say a fashion house like Louis Vuitton and the analogy has a certain amount of merit. This also implies that when thinking about the iPhone the value decision lifts itself out of the economic rational actor. However there are also shifting costs. You don’t buy a DSLR camera, you buy into a system since the camera needs lens in order to work. Applications (particularly paid for applications) play a similar role, as do services.  There is an inherent switching cost away from iPhone, this is lower when switching platform from Andrioid to iPhone and practically none existent for many users upgrading their Android handsets.

    So in many respects Apple sits apart from this in the same way that the Mac sat within, yet apart from the PC industry.

    More information
    Unbundling innovation: Samsung, PCs and China
    Android and differentiation | renaissance chambara
    Messaging’s middleware moment | renaissance chambara
    The folly of technology co-marketing budgets | renaissance chambara
    HTC One – gsmarena

  • Londons property boom & more news

    Londons property boom

    It’s hard to put the scale of London’s property boom into words, so here are some charts | Quartz – looking at these numbers makes me feel really uneasy. Londons property boom has been fuelled by external money and a massive increase in population. There are quality of life issues that won’t deter the absentee owners of Londons property boom; but will deter key staff. Then there is the distortion of the UK economy caused by Londons property boom.

    Design

    Jellyfish Tank Installation Opens After Store Hours – PSFK – this is so cool, I like the mix of forms. It’s like something out of a William Gibson novel

    Innovation

    StarHub encourages locals to donate unused talk time | Marketing Interactive – making a virtue out of the evils of telecoms bundling

    Marketing

    Are your Western Marketing Strategies Failing to Understand the Chinese Consumer? | LinkedIn – a lot of the time, yes

    Media

    Trust in Sponsored Content Runs Low | Marketing Charts – there are any number of reasons that this result could have occurred through poor survey design, however if it is true marketers, professional and amateur ‘media brands’ need to revise the way they do sponsored content to be more relevant and less salesy

    For Taylor Swift, the Future of Music Is a Love Story – WSJ There are a few things I have witnessed becoming obsolete in the past few years, the first being autographs. I haven’t been asked for an autograph since the invention of the iPhone with a front-facing camera. The only memento “kids these days” want is a selfie. It’s part of the new currency, which seems to be “how many followers you have on Instagram.” 

    Fan Power 
    A friend of mine, who is an actress, told me that when the casting for her recent movie came down to two actresses, the casting director chose the actress with more Twitter followers. I see this becoming a trend in the music industry. – This then begs the question what would a record label bring to the table for an artist?

    Online

    A Chinese internet giant has an app to help students cheat on their homework | Quartz – firstly is this cheating when we live in an internet enabled age and the collaborative aspect is a handy contrast to an education system that teaches kids by rote. Secondly it seems like a great way for Baidu to burnish its knowledge search credentials. Lastly what a great potential platform for ad targeting little emperors and empresses

    Your Selfie Idea Is Not Original. It’s shit. – Tumblr account says it so you don’t have to

    Tencent’s WeChat offers personalized, real-world postcards in diversifying move | Shanghai Daily – interesting the ways in which Tencent is experimenting with integrating online and offline through baby steps

    Just Like Facebook, Twitter’s New Impression Stats Suggest Few Followers See What’s Tweeted (Danny Sullivan/Marketing Land) – not terribly surprising given the stream of content

    Retailing

    Retail review: J. Crew | SCMP.com – interesting issue around retail planning (paywall). More related content here.

    Web of no web

    Samsung, Nest, ARM and others say Smart homes need more than WiFi and Bluetooth, propose Thread IP6 mesh network | 9to5Google – interesting to see how this fits with ZigBee low-power Bluetooth etc.

    Wireless

    China Mobile to quit WiFi rollout | The Register – didn’t make money

  • Social platform moves

    Over the past few years things have been set in motion that are changes that are driving  social platform moves and users:

    • The rise of smartphones. I have owned a smartphone for the past decade and a phone / PDA combo for a decade and a half. Originally I had a Nokia 6600 smartphone that nestled in the hand and used a joystick for navigation, but it took the touch screen of the iPhone and Samsung Galaxy to really blow up the smartphone market. An internet computer in the palm of your hand allows the user to use micro-moments of time to message or browse content
    • The rise of mobile messaging. By 2006, I had used Skype and Yahoo! Messenger on a mobile phone, but these were legacy networks that moved from the desktop on to other devices. At the time, messaging was more about presence, was a person accessible or not when I would go to call them; rather like Novell’s directory was used with early IP telephony office networks
    • The pitfalls of truly open social. Blogging had warning signs of what could happen with social that was too open. Heather Armstrong of dooce.com had been fired in 2002 for saying the kind of things online that would have made typical Facebook wall content. Secondly, Facebook moved from being the preserve of your classmates to including: parents, grandparents, siblings, work colleagues or curious HR people

    Younger and not so young people are seeing the benefit of instant messaging that is designed around mobile devices in a wider social platform moves. OTT messaging services like Kakao Talk and WeChat allow for group discussions allowing ad-hocratric decisions like what film to watch at the cinema to be made on the fly.

    Probably just as important was that the lack of a legacy base in the applications allowed them to be designed mobile first, providing a focused elegant user experience.
    engagement
    All of this provided a compelling use case, which also meant increased engagement at the experiences of desktop-orientated social networks.

    In Korea, Facebook has made slow steady progress, helped mostly by a security breach at local network Cyworld. In comparison, KakaoTalk came from nowhere to 90% penetration of the Korean market. This change has also happened in China, it is hard to understand how fast traditional networks like Sina Weibo and Kaixin001 have been left behind by Weixin (WeChat).

    “This is a new phase for social media in China,” said Hu Yong, a journalism professor at Peking University. “It is the decline of the first large-scale forum for information in China and the rise of something more narrowly focused.”

    In reality Sina Weibo hasn’t been social media in the way we understand it in the west. Most of the accounts tend towards passive consumption, Weibo acts like a stream of news. This makes it hard to estimate how many accounts were ‘real’ and how engaged the audience was. Anecdotal evidence suggested that riends still used Sina Weibo to get celebrity gossip and news but moved to private channels for interaction.  The New York Times considered this shift in China to be one of an issue to do with freedom of speech rather than a broader social movement towards conversations closer to the ’email’ age.

    More information
    An Online Shift in China Muffles an Open Forum – NYTimes.com

  • The Zetas & other news

    The Zetas radio network

    Radio Tecnico: How The Zetas Cartel Took Over Mexico With Walkie-Talkies | Popular Science – the scale and sophistication of this network was impressive. The Zetas was formed by a group of Mexican special forces operators who deserted who set up as a murder for hire for the Gulf Cartel in Mexico. Their numbers have been expanded from the civilian population. The Zetas broke away to form their own organisation in 2010.

    Consumer behaviour

    Kids still getting too much screen time, experts say – CBS News – we heard the same things about TV before I was born and all the way through my childhood

    Resonance | The four archetypes of Chinese shoppers. – Checkout China research

    How Working on Multiple Screens Can Actually Help You Focus | WIRED – contextual usage. More related content here.

    Culture

    Classic Song ‘Stems’ Inspire Remixes – WSJ – great to see Luxxury getting some respect. Previously this level of access was limited to DJ pools like DMC in the UK (paywall)

    FMCG

    Kantar: Chinese Consumer Goods Companies Take Share from Foreign Companies | China Internet Watch – interesting to see how western CPG companies like P&G and Unilever are losing ground in China

    Ideas

    Minds and Machines | Information Processing – the singularity is a long way off

    Legal

    CITIZEN EVIDENCE LAB | Turning Citizen Media Into Citizen Evidence: Authentication Techniques For Human Rights Researchers – interesting experience in media literacy and tips on spotting fake content that goes beyond Amnesty’s worthy if narrow purpose

    Luxury

    Juicy Couture Seeks Greener Pastures In Asia | Jing Daily – shuttering US stores and opening up mainland ones. Are Chinese tourists not buying mid-market luxury in the US?

    Chow Tai Fook builds loyalty through electronic stamps | Marketing Interactive – kind of, but not Tesco Clubcard for jewellery

    Marketing

    Li & Fung spin-off Global Brands wants China brands to compete globally | SCMP – (paywall)

    From the editor-in-chief: The death of PR agencies – as we know them | PR Week – no real surprises

    Media

    Tablet Magazine Ads Seen Garnering Recall Levels on Par With Print – but the reach of tablets is still lower

    Disney Picks 11 Tech and Media Firms for Startup-Accelerator Program | Variety – following other consumer brands like Unilever, Mondelez and PepsiCo

    MediaPost Publications Marketers Still Not Sold On Native Advertising 07/08/2014 – measurement and effectiveness

    Can Social Media Spending Fit Into a Simple ROI Formula? | SearchEngineJournal – looking at this data social web marketing isn’t working that well anymore

    Why the abysmal Transformers sequel is about to become China’s top grossing film of all time – Quartz – basically relevance

    BBC Academy – Journalism – great set of resources from the BBC

    Online

    360 Search Gaining Over 28% Market Share | ChinaInternetWatch – interesting that 360 is putting up a credible challenge to Baidu

    Technology

    VIA’s new Isaiah x86/ARM hybrid CPU outperforms Intel in benchmarks – but will it ever come to market? | ExtremeTech – it reminds me of the hype around Transmeta back in the day

    Metcalfe’s Law is Wrong – IEEE Spectrum – interesting essay

    Backlash stirs in US against foreign worker visas – looks like the tech industry’s dirty little secret could come home to roost

    Web of no web

    Bits Blog: Intel, Qualcomm and Others Compete for ‘Internet of Things’ Standard | New York Times – the problem will be Qualcomm’s take on intellectual property would be incompatible with the price point of ‘internet of things’ things

    Wireless

    China operators form €1.2bn tower-sharing venture | TotalTelecom – smart move, though probably not as profitable for Huawei and ZTE as it could have been..

    Ben Thompson: ‘Smartphone Truths and Samsung’s Inevitable Decline’ | Stratechery – whilst there is an obvious analogue with the PC which benefited only Microsoft and Intel respectively, Samsung’s scale puts it in a slightly different place

    Huawei D3 could be the world’s first flagship clone! | Gizchina.com – interesting assertion, particularly as Huawei is positioning itself as innovative. Also interesting that it was copying HTC

    Samsung Finds It Costly to Keep Up with China – Businessweek – Chinese firms treading on their turf

  • Watch Dogs hacks & other things

    Watch Dogs vs. real world hacking

    Great examination of how real-world hacking matches up with the game pay in Watch Dogs. In summary, it can be done but it isn’t as effortless as the game Watch Dogs would have you believe. This makes a lot of sense as months of careful organisation, network mapping, probing and phishing doesn’t make for great storytelling. If it won’t look good in a film, it probably won’t look good in a game. In this respect Watch Dogs is under the same limitations as hacking themes in 24 to The Matrix. If Watch Dogs spurs interest in hacking, that in itself could be a good thing, in the same way that the Sinclair Spectrum inspired a whole generation of British software developers. 

    Wandou Labs

    Wandou Labs put together a great presentation on how foreign apps compared to Chinese market apps. In particular Evernote is featured. I am surprised that there isn’t a product from the likes of Netease or Tencent the provides the same functionality as Evernote.

    I love Baron von Luxxury’s remixes of 80s classics, the latest one that I have on heavy rotation is his reworking of Duran Duran’s Girls On Film